185
FXUS64 KMAF 171736
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1136 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1136 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE
70S FOR MOST.
- POTENTIAL FOR RECORD HIGHS SATURDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW 80S FORECAST.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 203 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
A WEAK COLD FRONT TODAY, AND ANOTHER TOMORROW ARE EXPECTED IN THE
PERMIAN BASIN. AS A SIGN OF HOW THIS WINTER HAS GONE SO FAR,
NEITHER FRONT WILL EVEN BRING TEMPERATURES BACK DOWN TO NORMAL
MUCH LESS GIVE US ANY FEEL FOR THE WINTER SEASON. HIGHS BOTH TODAY
AND THURSDAY WILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL REACHING THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 203 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
FOR A BRIEF SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW OF THE SEASON THUS FAR, THE JET
STREAM HAS BEEN IN A ZONAL PATTERN FOR SEVERAL WEEKS. MINOR UPPER
TROUGHS MOVE THROUGH THE JET STREAM BUT FAIL TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT
AMPLIFICATION OF THE PATTERN. ANY COLD AIR MOVING SOUTH OUT OF
CANADA IS QUICKLY PUSHED EAST GIVING WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW
MEXICO ONLY GLANCING BLOWS OF COLD AIR WITH RAPID MODIFICATION OF
THE AIR MASS AND A QUICK RETURN OF WARM AIR ADVECTION. THIS
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE NOT ONLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BUT LIKELY
INTO THE END OF DECEMBER BRINGING ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A
CHRISTMAS THAT MAY FEEL MORE LIKE EARLY FALL THAN EARLY WINTER. IN
ADDITION, WESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP DEEP MOISTURE TO OUR EAST AND NO
APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1136 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THE NEXT 24 HOURS. LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY WINDS OF 10KTS OR LESS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR MOST SITES. HOWEVER, WINDS OF 10 TO
15KTS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN AT HOB AND FST BETWEEN 06Z AND 08Z
THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS AT MAF AND INK ARE FORECAST TO SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST BETWEEN 10Z AND 14Z THURSDAY MORNING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
APPROACHES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 44 67 37 71 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 44 74 37 77 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 45 80 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 47 74 44 81 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 44 64 41 67 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 44 68 35 72 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 37 73 32 73 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 46 69 39 71 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 46 69 40 71 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 40 72 36 74 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...55
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