094
FXUS64 KMAF 050842
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
242 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 242 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
- WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, WITH
STRONG GUSTS IN THE GUADALUPE/DELAWARE MOUNTAINS.
- LOW TO MEDIUM (10-50%) RAIN CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST AREAWIDE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BEST (40-50%) ODDS
WILL BE OVER THE UPPER TRANS PECOS WEST TOWARD THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
- A COOLING TREND BEGINS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES LOOK TO RETURN NEAR NORMAL OVER THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 242 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
A WEAK, UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PASS ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND BRING BREEZY CONDITIONS. STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL BE SEEN IN THE GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON. WESTERLY, DOWNSLOPE WINDS LEAD TO TEMPERATURES AROUND 15-
20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS AFTERNOON AS MOST OF THE REGION
REACHES INTO THE MID 70S. SOME SPOTS FROM PECOS COUNTY SOUTH TOWARDS
BIG BEND LOOK TO REACH INTO THE LOW 80S. OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL INTO
THE 40S FOR MOST WITH UPPER 30S IN THE COLDEST SPOTS. NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW TAKES HOLD ON TUESDAY AND TEMPERATURES END UP A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN TODAY, BUT REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL. THE PATTERN
REMAINS DRY IN THE SHORT TERM WITH NO RAIN EXPECTED.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 242 AM CST MON JAN 5 2026
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES WESTERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY TUESDAY NIGHT AS
RIDGING CONTINUES TO FLATTEN AND AN UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. TEMPERATURES TUESDAY NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO
BOTTOM OUT MAINLY IN THE 40S, WITH 50S IN THE BIG BEND AND NEAR
THE RIO GRANDE. WEDNESDAY, DOWNSLOPE WESTERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS BRING WIDESPREAD AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S. TEMPERATURES
WARM INTO THE 80S FOR AREAS NEAR THE RIO GRANDE. OVERNIGHT
WEDNESDAY, THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW OPENS UP, MERGING WITH A
BROADER TROUGH THAT DIGS INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BY THURSDAY
EVENING. DURING THIS PROCESS, MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IS ADVECTED
TOWARD OUR AREA OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. MOISTURE COMBINES WITH LIFT
FROM SHORTWAVE IMPULSES EMBEDDED WITHIN THE APPROACHING TROUGH,
RESULTING IN LOW TO MEDIUM (10-50%) RAIN CHANCES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY NIGHT, RAIN
CHANCES LOOK TO RANGE FROM 20-50% AREAWIDE, WITH BEST (40-50%)
ODDS OVER THE UPPER TRANS PECOS WEST TOWARD THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
ASIDE FROM RAINFALL, TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY NIGHT FALL INTO THE
40S AND 50S.
THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK YIELDS COOLER TEMPERATURES AS AN UPPER-
LEVEL TROUGH TRAVERSES OVER, AND EVENTUALLY NORTHEAST, OF OUR
REGION. THURSDAY AFTERNOON, THE TROUGH'S JET MAX LOOKS TO BRING
BREEZY WESTERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY TO THE AREA. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL LIKELY BE OVER THE GUADALUPE/DELAWARE MOUNTAINS. LOWER HEIGHTS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH AND A WEAK COLD FRONT RESULT IN HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE 60S THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BREEZY WINDS CONTINUE
FRIDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT SWEEPS DOWN FROM THE PANHANDLE.
TEMPERATURES REACH INTO THE 50S AND 60S FRIDAY AFTERNOON, THEN DIP
INTO THE 20S AND 30S FRIDAY NIGHT. COLD AIR CONTINUES FILTERING IN
OVER THE WEEKEND BEFORE THE TROUGH GRADUALLY DEPARTS TO OUR
NORTHEAST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGHS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE FORECAST
TO REACH THE 50S FOR MOST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1103 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS WITH ABUNDANT HIGH CLOUD
AT TIMES. S-SW FLOW WILL VEER OVERNIGHT TO WEST, INCREASING AND
BECOMING GUSTY AT MOST TERMINALS BY NOON. WINDS DECOUPLE AND VEER
A LITTLE MORE TO NW OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 78 43 73 42 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 73 39 69 41 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 79 50 79 51 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 80 49 74 48 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 63 43 61 44 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 74 38 69 41 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 72 38 71 39 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 77 44 73 46 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 76 44 71 46 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 77 40 72 41 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...99
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page