366
FXUS64 KMAF 060828
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
228 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 217 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
- LOW TO MEDIUM (30-60%) RAIN CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST AREAWIDE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS LOOK
LIGHT.
- A COOLING TREND BEGINS DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
TEMPERATURES DROP NEAR TO A TOUCH BELOW NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 217 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
ANOTHER WARM DAY IS ON TAP FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
WITH MOST LOCATIONS REACHING INTO THE UPPER 60S TO 70S. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO HAVE A WESTERLY COMPONENT TO THEIR DIRECTION AND THIS
WILL AID IN KEEPING OVERNIGHT LOWS ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 40S TO LOW
50S TONIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING IN FROM THE PACIFIC
APPROACHES THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY AND MOISTURE LEVELS BEGIN TO
INCREASE. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY,
PARTICULARLY OVER THE WESTERN ZONES WEST OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
GIVEN HOW DRY THE AIR IS EXPECTED TO BE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, RAIN
AMOUNTS WILL BE LOW UNTIL MORE MOISTURE FILLS IN LATE WEDNESDAY
EVENING.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 217 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2026
LOW TO MEDIUM (30-60%) RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO HOLD AREAWIDE
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY. THIS COURTESY OF LIFT AND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH AN SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT SWINGS OUT OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO
TOWARD THE CENTRAL PLAINS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT RELATIVELY DRY AIR ALREADY IN PLACE WITHIN THE
LOWER LEVELS WILL LIMIT HOW MUCH RAINFALL ACTUALLY REACHES THE
GROUND. AS OF NOW, RAINFALL TOTALS RANGE ANYWHERE FROM A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. WEST WINDS ALSO
RESULT IN WARMER THAN NORMAL LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH
TEMPERATURES ONLY FALLING INTO THE 40S TO LOW 50S.
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE
SHIFTS NORTHEASTWARD, MERGING WITH A LARGER TROUGH THAT DIGS INTO
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WOULD BE LOCATED IN THE GUADALUPE/DELAWARE MOUNTAINS, POTENTIALLY
REACHING HIGH WIND CRITERIA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. TEMPERATURES THURSDAY REACH THE 50S WITHIN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND 60S FOR MOST DUE TO LOWERING HEIGHTS FROM THE
APPROACHING TROUGH. ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES IN FRIDAY, BRINGING
BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE 50S OVER
MOST LOCATIONS. COLD AIR CONTINUES FILTERING INTO OUR AREA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, ON THE HEELS OF THE GRADUALLY DEPARTING TROUGH. LOWS
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT GENERALLY DIP INTO THE 20S, THEN
INTO THE 30S SUNDAY NIGHT THANKS TO RETURN FLOW. AFTERNOON HIGHS
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ARE FORECAST TO HOVER NEAR NORMAL, PRIMARILY
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S RETURN TO A FEW LOCATIONS MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 908 PM CST MON JAN 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
OUT OF THE WEST, BUT LIGHT ENOUGH TO VARY AT TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 74 44 77 49 / 0 0 0 60
CARLSBAD 69 43 72 45 / 0 0 10 60
DRYDEN 80 51 80 54 / 0 0 0 10
FORT STOCKTON 74 48 80 50 / 0 0 0 30
GUADALUPE PASS 62 46 63 40 / 0 0 20 60
HOBBS 70 42 72 42 / 0 0 10 60
MARFA 71 39 73 36 / 0 0 10 40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 73 47 75 49 / 0 0 0 50
ODESSA 72 48 74 49 / 0 0 0 50
WINK 72 44 75 46 / 0 0 10 60
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....95
AVIATION...99
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