090
FXUS64 KMAF 251108
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
508 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 501 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
- SNOW WILL END LATER TODAY, BUT ROADS REMAIN ICY AND TREACHEROUS.
- DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 10 BELOW ZERO
OR MORE INTO MONDAY COULD RESULT IN HYPOTHERMIA FOR ANIMALS AND
PEOPLE.
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF BROKEN PIPES
AND WATER DAMAGE AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH
MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW AND ICE CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THIS
MORNING AS ANOTHER WAVE MOVES THROUGH. THIS APPEARS TO BE THE LAST
MAJOR BAND AS THE UPPER STORM SYSTEM WILL FINALLY LIFT EAST OF THE
AREA TODAY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL KEEP SNOW SHOWERS GOING ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND POSSIBLY FURTHER EAST THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD GENERALLY STAY UNDER A COUPLE
OF INCHES. THIS HAS BEEN AN INTERESTING EVENT AS THE TYPE OF SNOW
(VERY GRANULAR) HAS REALLY CUT DOWN ON SNOW TOTALS ACROSS MUCH OF
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS IS LIKELY DUE TO A VERY SMALL LAYER OF
WARM AIR THAT HAS REFUSED TO ERODE AS EVIDENCED BY THE MAF 00Z
SOUNDING.
EVEN WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING TODAY IT WILL REMAIN COLD WITH MOST
LOCATIONS REMAINING IN THE 20S. WE COULD EVEN SEE A PEAK OF SUN JUST
BEFORE IT GOES DOWN. HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVERNIGHT AND
TEMPERATURES CRATER INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO NEAR ZERO. THIS WILL
BE SOME OF THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES WE HAVE SEEN IN ABOUT 5 YEARS.
ALSO OF SOME CONCERN IS THE THREAT FOR FREEZING FOG GIVEN ALL THE
SNOW AND ICE ON THE GROUND. WE ARE MONITORING FOR THIS AS IT COULD
JUST PUT ANOTHER LAYER OF ICE ON TOP OF EVERYTHING ALONG WITH
CAUSING LOW VISIBILITIES DURING THE MORNING RUSH HOUR MONDAY. WE
SHOULD FINALLY SEE PLENTY OF SUNSHINE BY AFTERNOON, BUT AGAIN ALL
THE SNOW AND ICE ON THE GROUND WILL LIMIT WARMING. HIGHS WILL LIKELY
REACH CLOSER TO FREEZING FOR MANY LOCATIONS WITH THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES IN THE 40S/50S SOUTH OF I-10.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
AFTER ANOTHER CHILLY MORNING TUESDAY, IT FINALLY APPEARS WE WILL SEE
A WARMUP AS WESTERLY, DOWNSLOPE FLOW DEVELOPS. IT WILL BE A BATTLE
BETWEEN THE SUNSHINE AND LEFTOVER ICE AND SNOW ON THE GROUND, BUT
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK FOR EVERYONE. THE
COLDEST TEMPERATURES WILL RESIDE WHERE THE MOST SNOW FELL, MAINLY
ACROSS SE NM. THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES MIDWEEK, BUT TEMPERATURES
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL. ANOTHER COLD FRONT AND STORM SYSTEM ARRIVE
FRIDAY, BUT MODELS HAVE TRENDED FURTHER SOUTH WITH PRECIPITATION AND
WARMER KEEPING IT MOSTLY RAIN. THE CURRENT FORECAST KEEPS THE
HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATIONS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-20. BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES LOOK TO REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 501 AM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
IFR AND OCCASIONAL LIFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH -SN
FROM TIME TO TIME. SNOW WILL END BY EARLY AFTERNOON WITH MVFR CIGS
REMAINING A FEW HOURS LONGER. VFR IS EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR A FEW
HOURS THIS EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE (40%) OF FZFG TOWARD THE END
OF THIS TAF PERIOD. IF CONFIDENCE INCREASES, THIS WILL BE ADDED AT
LATER ISSUANCES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 22 3 29 11 / 50 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 23 7 30 8 / 60 0 0 0
DRYDEN 37 16 41 20 / 20 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 24 14 36 17 / 50 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 20 13 29 18 / 60 0 0 0
HOBBS 23 4 32 10 / 50 0 0 0
MARFA 41 17 44 18 / 70 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 23 7 31 14 / 50 0 0 0
ODESSA 23 8 30 14 / 50 0 0 0
WINK 25 11 30 13 / 70 0 0 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/ MONDAY FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-CRANE-DAWSON-EASTERN CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND
DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-HOWARD-LOVING-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-SCURRY-TERRELL-UPTON-WARD-
WINKLER.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/ TODAY FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CRANE-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-DAVIS
MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-DAWSON-EASTERN CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND
DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-HOWARD-LOVING-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-SCURRY-TERRELL-UPTON-VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST MONDAY FOR CENTRAL BREWSTER-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-CHISOS BASIN-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-DAVIS
MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-MARFA PLATEAU-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.
NM...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 11 AM MST MONDAY FOR CENTRAL LEA-EDDY
COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-NORTHERN
LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 11 AM MST THIS MORNING FOR CENTRAL
LEA-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
NORTHERN LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
SHORT TERM...29
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
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