270
FXUS64 KMAF 260645
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1245 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1236 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- AREAS OF FREEZING FOG HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE PERMIAN BASIN BRINGING VISIBILITIES
NEAR 1/4 MILE AND A GLAZE OF ICE ON ROADS AND EXPOSED SURFACES.
- DANGEROUS TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS AROUND 10 BELOW
ZERO THROUGH THIS MORNING COULD RESULT IN HYPOTHERMIA. REMEMBER
TO CHECK ON FAMILY, NEIGHBORS, AND THE ELDERLY, ENSURE PETS AND
SENSITIVE PLANTS HAVE A WARM PLACE, AND PROTECT PIPES.
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF BROKEN PIPES
AND WATER DAMAGE AS TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW FREEZING OVER MUCH
OF THE AREA THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
BRRRR! LIGHT/VARIABLE WINDS, CLEARING SKIES, AND A SNOW/ICE PACK
THIS MORNING ARE RESULTING IN THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES YET THIS
WINTER, RANGING FROM A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW 0 F ON THE NORTHERN
FRINGES OF THE CWA, TO AROUND FREEZING IN THE PRESIDIO VALLEY. AT
06Z, THE RECORD LOW OF 15 F HAS ALREADY BEEN SHATTERED FOR MIDLAND
INTERNATIONAL AIR AND SPACE PORT. EXTREME COLD PRODUCTS COVER THIS
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THIS HAS ALSO RESULTED IN THE DEVELOPMENT
OF FREEZING FOG IN PLACES.
TODAY, A GRADUAL, SLOW WARMUP BEGINS UNDER NORTHWEST-TO-ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT. NBM HAS BEEN TOO QUICK TO WARM US UP THE PAST COUPLE OF
DAYS, AS IT IS WONT TO DO, AND WITH THE SNOW/ICE PACK, LOOKS A
LITTLE TOO WARM FOR TODAY, AS WELL. WE'VE LOWERED HIGHS A COUPLE OF
DEGREES. THAT SAID, IN GENERAL, AREAS NORTH OF I-10 WILL REMAIN
BELOW FREEZING, AND AREAS SOUTH ABOVE. EVEN W/FREEZING TEMPERATURES
NORTH OF I-10, INSULATION WILL REDUCE THE SNOW/ICE PACK SOMEWHAT,
MAINLY THROUGH SUBLIMATION.
TONIGHT, LIGHT RETURN FLOW RESUMES UNDER INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS.
DEWPOINTS SHOULD INCREASE A LITTLE IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER AS A
RESULT. THIS WILL ADD ~ 6-8 F TO THIS MORNING'S LOWS. AN EXTREME
COLD ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN FOR A SELECT FEW LOCATIONS IN THE
NORTH, BUT THIS WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON THE EXTENT OF THE SNOW/ICE
PACK BY SUNDOWN THIS EVENING.
TUESDAY, SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST UNDER CLEARING
SKIES. THIS WILL RESULT IN DOWNRIGHT BALMY WEATHER COMPARED TO THE
LAST FEW DAYS. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S AND
40S IN THE NORTH TO THE 60S IN THE PRESIDIO VALLEY, AVERAGING LESS
THAN 15 F BELOW NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1236 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
CHILLY CONDITIONS RETURN WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A FEW LOCATIONS
STILL SEEING LEFTOVER SNOW ON THE GROUND. WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
UNDER GUIDANCE ONCE AGAIN WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE TEENS. HIGHS
REBOUND INTO THE 40S/50S BY AFTERNOON WITH THE HELP OF DOWNSLOPE
FLOW, BUT CLOUDS WILL LIMIT BETTER WARMING. A SHORTWAVE PASSES TO
OUR NORTH THURSDAY SHOVING A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION. THIS
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL ALTHOUGH STILL MUCH
WARMER THAN WE ARE NOW. A STRONGER, BACKDOOR FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
ARRIVE FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF CHILLY CONDITIONS JUST IN
TIME FOR THE WEEKEND (SORRY). THIS SYSTEM DOES LOOK DRY FOR NOW SO
WE HAVE THAT GOING FOR US!
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 947 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
SKIES HAVE SCATTERED OUT TO VFR EVERYWHERE BUT THE MOUNTAINS, BUT
W/A SNOWPACK ON THE GROUND NOT GOING ANYWHERE, FZFG IS STILL
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. LIFR VSBYS, AND POSSIBLY CIGS,
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT/MONDAY MORNING MOST TERMINALS,
DIMINISHING BY LATE MORNING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 28 11 44 13 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 28 9 37 13 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 43 21 54 26 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 33 18 49 23 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 28 19 37 24 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 30 9 44 12 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 43 20 55 22 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 28 14 45 18 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 28 15 45 18 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 31 15 43 16 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/ TODAY FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-CRANE-DAWSON-EASTERN CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND
DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-HOWARD-LOVING-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-SCURRY-TERRELL-UPTON-WARD-
WINKLER.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST /11 AM MST/ TODAY FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-CRANE-DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-DAWSON-
EASTERN CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY
PLAINS-SCURRY-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-
WINKLER.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR CENTRAL BREWSTER-
CHINATI MOUNTAINS-CHISOS BASIN-DAVIS MOUNTAINS-DAVIS
MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-MARFA PLATEAU-
PRESIDIO VALLEY-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.
NM...EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL 11 AM MST MONDAY FOR CENTRAL LEA-EDDY
COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-NORTHERN
LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM MST MONDAY FOR CENTRAL LEA-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
NORTHERN LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....29
AVIATION...29
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