815
FXUS64 KMAF 262356
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
556 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 554 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND WIND CHILLS
AS LOW AS -5 TO 15 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
CONTINUE TO CHECK ON FAMILY, NEIGHBORS, AND THE ELDERLY, GIVE
PETS AND PLANTS A WARM PLACE TO STAY, AND PROTECT PIPES!
- ROADS WILL RE-FREEZE TONIGHT AND REMAIN SLICK AND HAZARDOUS
INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FREEZING FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE PERMIAN BASIN, AND THE VAN HORN
CORRIDOR AGAIN LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 225 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
COLD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SETTLE OVER MUCH OF TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT THE WEEKEND
WINTER STORM. WE STARTED OFF THE MORNING WITH RECORD BREAKING COLD
ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING TO AS LOW AS
ZERO TO 9 BELOW OVER THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN INTO LEA COUNTY NM
(COLDEST READING OF -9 AT THE TATUM MESONET SITE). WE OFFICIALLY
REACHED 3 DEGREES AT MAF, WHICH CONSIDERABLY BREAKS THE OLD RECORD
OF 15 DEGREES SET BACK IN 1940. SINGLE DIGITS STRETCHED AS FAR
SOUTH AS THE I-10 CORRIDOR, WITH READINGS MOSTLY RANGING IN THE
TEENS AND 20S SOUTH OF I-10. CIRA GEOCOLOR SATELLITE IMAGERY
DISPLAYS A SWATH OF SNOW PACK EXTENDING ACROSS MOST AREAS ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR IN OUR FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES REMAIN VERY COLD ACROSS LOCATIONS THAT
RECEIVED SNOW IN OUR FORECAST AREA, WITH MOST HAVING MANAGED TO
WARM INTO THE 20S AS OF 130 PM CST. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE 30S
AND 40S ALONG THE LOWER TRANS PECOS AND BIG BEND.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARD THE GULF COAST
STATES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE WEAK TROUGHING TAKES SHAPE OVER
EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDINESS TONIGHT WHICH MAY HELP MODIFY
OVERNIGHT LOWS SOMEWHAT, BUT THE RESIDUAL SNOW PACK AND THE
REMAINING INFLUENCE OF THE ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL ALLOW TO
TEMPERATURES TO PLUMMET INTO THE TEENS AND 20S OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA TONIGHT, WITH READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AGAIN OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE PERMIAN BASIN. WIND
SPEEDS UP TO 5-10 MPH WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM WIND CHILL VALUES
RANGING FROM AROUND 5 BELOW TO 15 ABOVE OVER THE AREA, WHICH MEETS
THE CRITERIA FOR A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY ISSUANCE OVER JUST ABOUT
ALL OF OUR AREA (EXCEPT THE PRESIDIO VALLEY) TONIGHT INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. WE SHOULD FINALLY WARM BACK INTO THE 30S AND 40S
OVER AREAS WITH REMAINING SNOW PACK ON TUESDAY, WHILE SOUTHERN
PORTIONS OF OUR REGION WARM INTO THE 50S AND PERHAPS AROUND 60
DEGREES ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. ANOTHER COLD NIGHT IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN THE TEENS AND 20S, BUT
TEMPERATURES/WIND CHILLS CURRENTLY LOOK TO REMAIN ABOVE COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY CRITERIA.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT GENERALLY PREVAILS ACROSS WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK. TEMPERATURES STILL LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY-
FRIDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S FOR THE MOST PART, EXCEPT 60S
OVER THE SOUTHERN BIG BEND/ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. LOWS ALSO MODIFY
BACK INTO THE 20S AND 30S. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SWITCH WINDS
BACK TO THE NORTH ON THURSDAY. ANOTHER STRONGER COLD FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED SURGE OF COLDER AIR SPREADS BACK INTO OUR REGION FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY, WITH LOWS BACK DOWN INTO THE TEENS TO LOWER
20S FOR MANY THIS WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS ON SATURDAY BACK DOWN INTO
HE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20. THE SURFACE RIDGE
SHIFTS TO OUR EAST SUNDAY, ALLOWING FOR A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
BACK INTO THE 50S FOR MOST ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE FORECAST LOOKS
TO REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 554 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
EXPECT A REDEVELOPMENT OF LIFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS OVERNIGHT, MAINLY SE
NM BUT POSSIBLY DEVELOPING DOWN INTO KINK. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN LIGHT/VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS, AND A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 11 43 15 46 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 11 38 18 43 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 21 52 25 58 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 19 48 23 52 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 21 38 26 43 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 11 43 16 47 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 19 54 22 59 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 15 44 18 48 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 16 44 19 47 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 15 42 17 46 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ TUESDAY FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-CRANE-DAVIS
MOUNTAINS-DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-DAWSON-EASTERN
CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE
7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-HOWARD-LOVING-
LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-SCURRY-TERRELL-UPTON-VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM MST TUESDAY FOR CENTRAL LEA-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
NORTHERN LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...99
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