876
FXUS64 KMAF 270716
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
116 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1230 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND WIND CHILLS
AS LOW AS -5 TO 15 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS INTO THIS MORNING. CONTINUE TO
CHECK ON FAMILY, NEIGHBORS, AND THE ELDERLY, GIVE PETS AND
PLANTS A WARM PLACE TO STAY, AND PROTECT PIPES!
- SLICK SPOTS ON THE ROADS MAY BE SEEN BOTH THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP BACK BELOW FREEZING.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FREEZING FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE PERMIAN BASIN, AND THE VAN HORN
CORRIDOR AGAIN THIS MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST,
PUTTING WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO UNDER ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT MONDAY MORNING WAS THE NADIR OF
TEMPERATURES FOR THIS COLD SNAP, AND A WARMER TEMPERATURES (ALTHOUGH
NOT THAT MUCH WARMER) ARE ON TAP INTO NEXT WEEK. FOR THE MOMENT,
HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A COLD WX
ADVISORY THROUGH MID MORNING. AT SUNDOWN LAST NIGHT, VIS SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWED MOST OF THE SNOW/ICE PACK REMAINING OVER THE AREA,
DESPITE ABUNDANT INSOLATION YESTERDAY. AREA OBSERVATIONS/REPORTS
SUGGEST ANOTHER ROUND OF FZFG IN MUCH THE SAME AREAS AS LAST NIGHT,
SO WE'VE ALSO ISSUED AN ADVISORY THROUGH LATE MORNING TO COVER THIS.
TODAY, SKIES SCATTER OUT, AND WILL COMBINE W/SOUTHWEST-TO-WEST
DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO INCREASE THICKNESSES, ADDING ~ 10-12 F TO
YESTERDAY'S HIGHS, RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S AND 40S NORTH TO THE
60S IN THE PRESIDIO VALLEY. THE WHOLE CWA SHOULD CLIMB ABOVE
FREEZING. WITH ANY LUCK, INSOLATION/WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL GO A
RESPECTABLE WAY IN ERODING THE SNOW/ICE PACK.
TONIGHT, DESPITE A WEAK COLD FRONT, UNDER INCREASING CLOUD COVER,
LOWS SHOULD COME IN ONLY 10 F OR SO BELOW NORMAL, FROM THE TEENS
NORTH TO THE 30S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. OF COURSE, MUCH OF THIS WILL
DEPEND ON WHAT, IF ANY, OF THE SNOW/ICE PACK REMAINS.
WEDNESDAY, TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM, ALBEIT VERY SLOWLY, AS THE
WEST COAST RIDGE MOVES INTO THE AREA. HIGHS SHOULD WARM AROUND 5 F
OVER TODAY'S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT, TEMPERATURES DROP BACK DOWN BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION WITH 20S AND 30S FOR MOST WITH 40S HANGING
ON ACROSS BIG BEND. OVER THE COURSE OF THURSDAY, A DISTURBANCE WILL
CROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS AND SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES INTO THE 20S RETURN FOR MOST WITH LOW 30S
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES. WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND WITH EACH MORNING SEEING TEENS AND 20S
WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S. THANKFULLY, THIS COLD SPELL WILL BE
DRY WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAINING LOW (<10%) FOR THE REST OF
JANUARY AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF FEBRUARY.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 943 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
EXPECT A REDEVELOPMENT OF LIFR/IFR CIGS/VSBYS OVERNIGHT, MAINLY SE
NM BUT POSSIBLY DEVELOPING DOWN INTO KINK. OTHERWISE, VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL IN LIGHT/VARIABLE SURFACE WINDS, AND A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 43 16 47 27 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 40 18 43 26 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 52 26 58 32 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 49 24 52 32 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 40 27 43 32 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 45 16 47 27 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 55 22 58 30 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 44 19 48 30 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 44 20 47 31 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 43 18 45 27 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST /8 AM MST/ THIS MORNING FOR
ANDREWS-BORDEN-CENTRAL BREWSTER-CHISOS BASIN-CRANE-DAVIS
MOUNTAINS-DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-DAWSON-EASTERN
CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS ABOVE
7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-HOWARD-LOVING-
LOWER BREWSTER COUNTY-MARFA PLATEAU-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-
PECOS-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY PLAINS-SCURRY-TERRELL-UPTON-VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-WINKLER.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CST /10 AM MST/ THIS MORNING
FOR ANDREWS-BORDEN-CRANE-DAVIS MOUNTAINS FOOTHILLS-DAWSON-
EASTERN CULBERSON-ECTOR-GAINES-GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 7000 FEET-GUADALUPE AND DELAWARE MOUNTAINS-
HOWARD-LOVING-MARTIN-MIDLAND-MITCHELL-REAGAN-REEVES COUNTY
PLAINS-SCURRY-UPTON-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-WARD-
WINKLER.
NM...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM MST TUESDAY FOR CENTRAL LEA-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
NORTHERN LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM MST TUESDAY FOR CENTRAL LEA-
EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-
NORTHERN LEA-SOUTHERN LEA.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...99
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