145
FXUS64 KMAF 271724
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1124 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1123 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS AND WIND CHILLS
AS LOW AS -5 TO 15 DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS INTO THIS MORNING. CONTINUE TO
CHECK ON FAMILY, NEIGHBORS, AND THE ELDERLY, GIVE PETS AND
PLANTS A WARM PLACE TO STAY, AND PROTECT PIPES!
- SLICK SPOTS ON THE ROADS MAY BE SEEN BOTH THIS MORNING AND AGAIN
TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP BACK BELOW FREEZING.
- PATCHY TO AREAS OF FREEZING FOG MAY DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO, THE PERMIAN BASIN, AND THE VAN HORN
CORRIDOR AGAIN THIS MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING SHOWS AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WEST COAST,
PUTTING WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO UNDER ZONAL FLOW ALOFT.
ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT MONDAY MORNING WAS THE NADIR OF
TEMPERATURES FOR THIS COLD SNAP, AND A WARMER TEMPERATURES (ALTHOUGH
NOT THAT MUCH WARMER) ARE ON TAP INTO NEXT WEEK. FOR THE MOMENT,
HOWEVER, TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A COLD WX
ADVISORY THROUGH MID MORNING. AT SUNDOWN LAST NIGHT, VIS SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWED MOST OF THE SNOW/ICE PACK REMAINING OVER THE AREA,
DESPITE ABUNDANT INSOLATION YESTERDAY. AREA OBSERVATIONS/REPORTS
SUGGEST ANOTHER ROUND OF FZFG IN MUCH THE SAME AREAS AS LAST NIGHT,
SO WE'VE ALSO ISSUED AN ADVISORY THROUGH LATE MORNING TO COVER THIS.
TODAY, SKIES SCATTER OUT, AND WILL COMBINE W/SOUTHWEST-TO-WEST
DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO INCREASE THICKNESSES, ADDING ~ 10-12 F TO
YESTERDAY'S HIGHS, RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S AND 40S NORTH TO THE
60S IN THE PRESIDIO VALLEY. THE WHOLE CWA SHOULD CLIMB ABOVE
FREEZING. WITH ANY LUCK, INSOLATION/WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL GO A
RESPECTABLE WAY IN ERODING THE SNOW/ICE PACK.
TONIGHT, DESPITE A WEAK COLD FRONT, UNDER INCREASING CLOUD COVER,
LOWS SHOULD COME IN ONLY 10 F OR SO BELOW NORMAL, FROM THE TEENS
NORTH TO THE 30S ALONG THE RIO GRANDE. OF COURSE, MUCH OF THIS WILL
DEPEND ON WHAT, IF ANY, OF THE SNOW/ICE PACK REMAINS.
WEDNESDAY, TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO WARM, ALBEIT VERY SLOWLY, AS THE
WEST COAST RIDGE MOVES INTO THE AREA. HIGHS SHOULD WARM AROUND 5 F
OVER TODAY'S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT, TEMPERATURES DROP BACK DOWN BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION WITH 20S AND 30S FOR MOST WITH 40S HANGING
ON ACROSS BIG BEND. OVER THE COURSE OF THURSDAY, A DISTURBANCE WILL
CROSS THE ROCKIES INTO THE PLAINS AND SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES INTO THE 20S RETURN FOR MOST WITH LOW 30S
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES. WELL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND WITH EACH MORNING SEEING TEENS AND 20S
WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S. THANKFULLY, THIS COLD SPELL WILL BE
DRY WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAINING LOW (<10%) FOR THE REST OF
JANUARY AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF FEBRUARY.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1123 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THE NEXT 24 HOURS. WINDS
UNDER 10KTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THIS TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 16 47 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 18 43 26 50 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 26 58 32 67 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 24 52 32 56 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 27 43 32 46 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 16 47 27 51 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 22 58 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 19 48 30 54 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 20 47 31 54 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 18 45 27 54 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...55
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