011
FXUS64 KMAF 290350
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
950 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 950 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
- TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- ANOTHER SHOT OF COLD AIR SHOULD ARRIVE FOR THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
CURRENT VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS AN IMPRESSIVE SNOW FIELDS REMAINS
BETWEEN MIDLAND AND AMARILLO TODAY. TIME LAPSE SHOWS THE NORTHERN
PERMIAN BASIN IS GETTING DARKER INDICATING THAT THE SNOW IS
MELTING, BUT TRAVEL WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR AT LEAST TONIGHT AND
POSSIBLY TOMORROW NIGHT AS WELL AS BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES
CAUSE MELTING WATER TO REFREEZE.
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN BASIN MAY BE HELD DOWN A FEW
DEGREES BY THE SNOW TOMORROW WHICH ISN'T ENTIRELY REFLECTED IN THE
CURRENT NBM GUIDANCE. OTHER LOCATIONS TO THE SOUTH WILL WARM INTO
THE 50S WITH 60S IN THE BIG BEND NEAR THE RIO GRANDE.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
FRIDAY WILL BE MUCH LIKE THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT
ARRIVES EARLY SATURDAY. THERE IS SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENT WITH HOW
DEEP AND COLD THE AIR IS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH THE GFS BEING THE
STRONGEST. THE GFS MAY BE HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE COLD AIR
SINCE THE TRAJECTORY OF THE UPPER PATTERN IS ALMOST DUE SOUTH OUT
OF CANADA. THEREFORE IF THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR SATURDAY IS
IN ERROR IT WILL LIKELY BE TOO WARM WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
PERMIAN BASIN, UPPER TRANS PECOS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO
FAILING TO REACH 40 DEGREES. LIFT AND MOISTURE REMAIN AWAY FROM
THE AREA AND NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD QUICKLY REBOUND SUNDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL
WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND CONTINUING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
HIGHS REACH THE 60S FOR MOST. THE MODELS BECOME CHAOTIC BY THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL OF ANOTHER FRONT AND
PRECIPITATION CHANCES. THIS IS JUST BEYOND THE CURRENT FORECAST
BUT SOMETHING WE WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE TURNING NORTHWESTERLY TO
NORTHERLY AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS LATE THURSDAY
MORNING INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 27 57 25 55 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 25 51 26 49 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 33 68 38 60 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 33 58 32 58 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 34 46 31 44 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 28 53 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 30 60 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 30 56 28 55 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 30 55 28 54 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 27 55 25 53 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...21
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