767
FXUS64 KMAF 290911
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
311 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 309 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
- A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY KEEPING WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM AS ANOTHER DAY WITH
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS EXPECTED. MOST LOCATIONS REACH BACK
INTO THE 50S WITH 60S HANGING ON ACROSS BIG BEND. LOWS TONIGHT ALSO
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WITH MOST DIPPING INTO THE 20S TO LOW 30S. A
DISTURBANCE MAKES ITS WAY ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL NOT AFFECT CONDITIONS DURING THE
DAY WHERE TEMPERATURES STAY JUST BELOW NORMAL IN THE 50S. A BACKDOOR
FRONT DOES APPROACH TOWARDS THE END OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST
PERIOD. PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
FRIDAY NIGHT SEES THE PASSAGE OF A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT FROM THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS THE CWA. ANOTHER COLD AIRMASS SETTLES IN BEHIND THE
FRONT AND TEMPERATURES DIP BACK INTO THE LOW TO MID 20S FOR MOST
WITH A FEW SPOTS HITTING THE UPPER TEENS. NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES
POSSIBLE ACROSS BIG BEND. POPS REMAIN QUITE LOW (<10%) FOR FRIDAY
EVENING AND INTO SATURDAY AS THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTAIN SIGNIFICANTLY
LESS MOISTURE THAN OUR PREVIOUS COLD SHOT. IF ANY PRECIPITATION DOES
FALL, IT WILL BE LIGHT AND ISOLATED IN NATURE AND LIKELY NOT AMOUNT
TO ANYTHING MEASURABLE. THE COLD LASTS BUT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT
BEFORE THE REGION WARMS BACK TO NEAR OR EVEN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. GUIDANCE BRINGS BACK
LOW (10-30%) PRECIPITATION CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
HOWEVER, MUCH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THIS TIMEFRAME AND DETAILS
WILL COME INTO FOCUS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 950 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
VFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT
THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE TURNING NORTHWESTERLY TO
NORTHERLY AT 10-15 KNOTS WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS LATE THURSDAY
MORNING INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 57 25 56 21 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 52 27 50 24 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 68 38 61 32 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 58 33 59 28 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 48 31 45 28 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 53 26 53 21 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 60 26 57 23 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 56 28 55 24 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 56 29 54 24 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 55 27 54 25 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...21
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