043
FNUS74 KMAF 040722
FWSMAF
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH HAY HOLLOW...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
122 AM CST WED MAR 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON MARCH 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MIN RHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE JUST ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS (>15%)
TODAY. WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING BECOME NORTHERLY,
WITH WINDS PICKING UP TO AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH. WINDS DECREASE THIS
AFTERNOON AND BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BY MID-TO-LATE
AFTERNOON. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT AND SHIFT SOUTHERLY.
EXCELLENT MOISTURE RECOVERY IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. BY THURSDAY,
MIN RHS DROP WELL BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS (AS LOW AS 7%) AND
WINDS BECOME BREEZY AGAIN. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS INCREASE THROUGHOUT
THE DAY AND COULD GUST UP TO 30 MPH AT TIMES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (35400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 57 65 69 74 75
RH..............39 38 30 26 20 18
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N E S
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 9 7 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 10
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 1800 2900 3600 3600
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N E S
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 25 20 14 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 25 30 34 33 32
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............75 62 58 55
RH..............18 32 39 43
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S W
20 FT WIND SPD..8 5 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 400 400 400
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 12 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..32 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........7 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 22 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 32 TO 33
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (58600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (222000
KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............54 67 80
RH..............47 23 10
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 18
20 FT WIND GUST. 12 26
MIX HGT (FT)....400 2000 8500
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 30
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 20 222
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR EXNT
FORECASTER...GREENING
REQUESTED BY...JAMES FAUST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604613.1/MAF
.DELDT 03/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JFAUST@BLM.GOV
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