640  
FNUS74 KMAF 050820  
FWSMAF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH HAY HOLLOW...BLM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX  
220 AM CST THU MAR 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON MARCH 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CST THIS  
EVENING...  
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING  
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BELOW CRITICAL MIN RHS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY.  
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE PICK UP THIS AFTERNOON AND  
BECOME QUITE BREEZY, WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 40 MPH LIKELY. AS  
SUCH, NEAR-CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED  
TO DEVELOP. TONIGHT, WINDS REMAIN BREEZY BUT DECREASE WITH GUSTS  
AROUND 25-30 MPH. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES ARE FORECAST TONIGHT,  
WITH MAX RHS ONLY TOPPING OUT AROUND 27 PERCENT. MIN RHS REMAIN  
BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS FRIDAY AND BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE  
EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP. AS A RESULT, NEAR-CRITICAL TO CRITICAL FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS PERSIST. WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 35 MPH AT TIMES  
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 27 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 35 TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 31  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (55500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (236100  
KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............53 66 76 78 79  
RH..............50 28 14 10 9  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 9 17 21 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 13 21 25 28  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 5500 8400 9300  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 12 23 29 31  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 16 110 209 252  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR VYGD EXNT EXNT  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13  
TO 18 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING  
TO 23 TO 32 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (181700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR  
(21300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING  
TO POOR (5500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............78 64 59 59  
RH..............9 15 18 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..17 12 13 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 17 19 21  
MIX HGT (FT)....7900 500 700 700  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.26 13 23 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..182 6 13 18  
VENTRATE CAT....EXNT POOR POOR POOR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH INCREASING TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 32 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (101100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (133500  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............54 64 71  
RH..............25 15 9  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 17 22  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 24 28  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 4100 6400  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 29 31  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..19 101 171  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR VYGD EXNT  
 

 
FORECASTER...GREENING  
REQUESTED BY...JAMES FAUST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604613.2/MAF  
.DELDT 03/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JFAUST@BLM.GOV  
 
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