244
FXUS64 KMAF 120731
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
231 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 201 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
- SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TODAY.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE SATURDAY.
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AS WINDS
INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
THE SHORT TERM FORECAST IS QUIET FOR THE FIRST TIME IN SEVERAL
DAYS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS SOUTH INTO TEXAS TODAY BRINGING MORE
SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHTER WINDS. LOWS DROP INTO THE 40S
TONIGHT BEFORE SOUTHERLY WINDS ADVECT IN WARMER TEMPERATURES
CAUSING HIGHS TO QUICKLY REBOUND INTO THE 80S ON FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 201 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2026
THE JET STREAM EDGES SOUTH ON SATURDAY, INCREASING DOWNSLOPING
WINDS AND CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO SOAR WELL ABOVE NORMAL. IN FACT
THERE COULD BE SOME RECORDS SET ON SATURDAY WHEN MOST OF THE AREA
WILL SEE HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO 90S. THE RECORD HIGH FOR MAF ON
SATURDAY IS 89 WHICH IS A RECORD THAT COULD BE BROKEN WITH THE
CURRENT FORECAST BEING 92. AN UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PLAINS WILL SEND A COLD FRONT SOUTH ON SUNDAY. THE FRONT
IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN THE PERMIAN BASIN SUNDAY
AFTERNOON LIMITING ITS IMPACT ON HIGHS SUNDAY, THOUGH SOME COOLING
WILL BE SEEN. IT WILL BE VERY WINDY AGAIN BEHIND THE FRONT BEFORE
THE SURFACE HIGH CENTER ARRIVES MONDAY. MONDAY IS MUCH COOLER BUT
THIS TIME OF YEAR, COOLING IS USUALLY BRIEF WITH A QUICK WARM UP
OCCURRING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. VERY DRY AIR WILL BE
IN PLACE PREVENTING ANY CHANCE FOR RAIN.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1158 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 70 45 87 48 / 0 0 0 0
CARLSBAD 75 48 87 49 / 0 0 0 0
DRYDEN 71 43 90 51 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 74 51 89 55 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 66 50 76 53 / 0 0 0 0
HOBBS 70 45 84 47 / 0 0 0 0
MARFA 68 37 80 42 / 0 0 0 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 70 46 88 50 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 69 47 87 50 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 73 44 89 46 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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