917
FXUS64 KMAF 042022
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
322 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 311 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
- MEDIUM TO HIGH (40-70%) RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
THE I-10 CORRIDOR SUNDAY AND TUESDAY.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY INCREASING TO
NEAR NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS BROUGHT TEMPERATURES DOWN ABOUT 15 DEGREES FROM
YESTERDAY ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ONLY SLOWLY MOVE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY KEEPING
WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST TO EAST, FILTERING IN THE COOLER TEMPS
FROM UP NORTH AND ALLOWING A COOL AND PLEASANT DAY FOR OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES. THE MORNINGS WILL START OFF COOL BOTH TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW NIGHT AS LOWS DROP INTO THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 311 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A SOUTHERN STREAM JET MAX MOVES ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY CREATING A
LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. WE PROBABLY WON'T SEE
MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL BUT ANY AMOUNT HELPS. A WEAK
RIDGE/ZONAL PATTERN BRIEFLY ARRIVES WEDNESDAY GIVING A WARM AND
DRY DAY BEFORE A DEEP UPPER LOW APPROACHES THE WEST COAST ON
THURSDAY. FLOW ALOFT BACKS FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND A SURFACE
DRYLINE BECOMES ESTABLISHED, AND COMBINED WITH AFTERNOON HEATING
COULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. CURRENT MODELS INDICATE THAT INSTABILITY AND
SHEAR WILL BE ENOUGH THAT SOME STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE SO THIS
WILL HAVE TO BE A DAY TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL IMPACTS. THE LOW
CONTINUES MOVING EAST FRIDAY BUT LITTLE CHANGES IN THE UPPER
PATTERN FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO KEEPING THE
DRYLINE IN PLACE AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER DAY OF
SEVERE WEATHER. AGAIN, THIS IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS OUT AND MUCH
COULD CHANGE BUT WE WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
IMPACTFUL WEATHER TO END NEXT WEEK.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS HAVE RETURNED TO ALL SITES AND WILL REMAIN VFR
THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS SUBSIDE
BY 00Z AND BECOME MORE EASTERLY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 45 70 45 71 / 0 0 10 0
CARLSBAD 46 68 44 68 / 10 20 20 10
DRYDEN 53 63 50 67 / 20 40 50 10
FORT STOCKTON 50 64 48 68 / 10 40 40 10
GUADALUPE PASS 45 56 41 60 / 10 40 20 10
HOBBS 41 69 39 69 / 0 10 10 0
MARFA 41 55 37 63 / 30 60 50 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 47 69 46 69 / 0 10 20 10
ODESSA 48 68 47 69 / 0 10 20 10
WINK 47 68 46 68 / 10 20 20 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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