574
FXUS64 KMAF 061119
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
619 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 618 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
- MEDIUM TO HIGH (40-70%) RAIN CHANCES FOR AREAS SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR TUESDAY.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY INCREASING TO
NEAR NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AND A FEW STORMS COULD
BECOME SEVERE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 349 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
DRIER TAKE HOLD FOR AT LEAST TODAY AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HAS MOVED
NEARBY. RAIN CHANCES WILL SIT NEAR ZERO FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AND
TEMPERATURES MOVE UP A COUPLE DEGREES INTO THE LOW 70S FOR MOST. BY
TONIGHT, ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE
REGION AND BRINGS ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR RAIN. SHOWER ACTIVITY
BEGINS TO MOVE IN ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS TO THE WEST AND
SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND INTO THE PERMIAN BASIN DURING THE DAY
ON TUESDAY. A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN WITH THIS
CONVECTION, BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTED. INTO
TUESDAY NIGHT, DAYTIME ACTIVITY MOVES OUT OF THE AREA AND DECAYS.
OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
-STICKNEY
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 349 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
WEAK RIDGING RETURNS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THE AREA DRIES OUT FOR THE
DAY WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 80S. ANOTHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN
ACROSS THE REGION BY THURSDAY IN COMBINATION WITH A DRYLINE-LIKE
PATTERN. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND INTO
FRIDAY. THE LARGER SCALE PATTERN IS LOOKING BETTER FOR STORMS AND
POTENTIALLY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS, BUT DETAILS WILL BECOME MORE
CLEAR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HEADING INTO NEXT WEEKEND, LONG
RANGE GUIDANCE SHOWS MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.
WITH THAT IN MIND, RAIN CHANCES ARE INCREASED, BUT CONFIDENCE IS
STILL LOW IN REGARDS TO WHAT THE COVERAGE OR AMOUNT OF RAIN WILL BE.
TEMPERATURES EACH AFTERNOON LOOK TO REACH INTO THE 80S WITH LOWS IN
THE 50S FOR MOST.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND
10-15KTS THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 72 48 68 48 / 0 10 50 10
CARLSBAD 72 49 73 45 / 10 50 70 20
DRYDEN 72 52 75 53 / 0 10 40 0
FORT STOCKTON 72 52 76 51 / 0 40 60 10
GUADALUPE PASS 64 47 68 48 / 10 60 50 0
HOBBS 71 45 66 42 / 0 30 70 20
MARFA 67 41 75 40 / 10 30 40 0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 71 49 68 49 / 0 20 60 20
ODESSA 71 50 68 49 / 0 20 60 20
WINK 72 50 73 49 / 0 40 60 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...93
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