643
FXUS64 KMAF 081133
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
633 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 626 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
- ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS/STORMS ARE FORECAST MAINLY
WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
- RAIN CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW STORMS
MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. SPECIFICS TO BE
IRONED OUT OVER THE COMING DAYS!
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 348 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY MOVE INTO THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING AND KEEP RAIN CHANCES LOW (<10%) FOR TODAY.
MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO
THE 70S TO LOW 80S. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT ALSO TREND UPWARD AS
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES TODAY AND MOST LOCATIONS SETTLE INTO
THE 50S. HEADING INTO THURSDAY, RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AS ANOTHER
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CROSSES IN FROM THE WEST. HIGHEST CHANCES
(20-30%) FOR RAIN WILL EXIST OVER THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND DOWN
ACROSS BIG BEND. HIGHS ON THURSDAY MOVE A COUPLE DEGREES HIGHER WITH
MOST ENDING UP IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. CLOUD COVER AND RAIN MAY KEEP
A SOME AREAS SLIGHTLY COOLER FOR THE DAY.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 348 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
LATE THURSDAY, ANY DAYTIME ACTIVITY SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN, BUT THIS
BREAK IN ACTIVITY WILL BE SOMEWHAT SHORT LIVED. RAIN CHANCES
INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST OVER THE COURSE OF FRIDAY AND INTO
SATURDAY AN UPPER LOW MOVES INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND A WEAKER
DISTURBANCE HEAD OF THAT LOW IS PUSHED ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO. FORECASTED RAIN CHANCES ARE HIGH (50-70%) ON
SATURDAY AND MAY BE SLIGHTLY OVERDONE DEPENDING ON HOW THE COVERAGE
OF ACTIVITY DEVELOPS. STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE ON
SATURDAY, BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO GO INTO SIGNIFICANT
DETAIL ABOUT WHAT HAZARDS MAY BE PRESENT AT THIS TIME. STAY TUNED
FOR SUBSEQUENT UPDATES. BEYOND SATURDAY, LOWER RAIN CHANCES REMAIN
ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE 80S
EACH AFTERNOON INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
-STICKNEY
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 AM CDT WED APR 8 2026
VFR CONTINUES THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS REMAIN SOUTHEASTERLY FOR
THE DAY TOPPING OUT AROUND 10-15KTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 78 55 80 57 / 0 0 10 0
CARLSBAD 81 50 85 53 / 0 0 20 10
DRYDEN 78 59 80 59 / 0 0 30 20
FORT STOCKTON 81 57 83 58 / 0 0 30 10
GUADALUPE PASS 73 53 75 53 / 10 0 20 10
HOBBS 78 50 81 53 / 0 0 10 10
MARFA 76 44 76 46 / 10 0 50 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 76 55 79 58 / 0 0 10 10
ODESSA 76 55 78 59 / 0 0 10 10
WINK 78 55 82 57 / 0 0 10 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...93
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