788
FXUS64 KMAF 081113
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
613 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 612 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
- VERY WARM TO HOT TEMPERATURES THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK.
- A SLIGHT COOLING TREND WITH SOME INCREASE IN DAYTIME SHOWER/STORM
CHANCES FORECAST LATE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 138 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
TEMPERATURES ARE BACK ON THE RISE AND WILL REMAIN IN THE 90S TO
LOW 100S THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. UPPER HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
STATIONARY FROM NORTHERN NEW MEXICO TO THE EASTERN SEABOARD
KEEPING TEMPERATURES FROM FLUCTUATING. LIMITED MOISTURE ALSO
ALLOWS FOR ONLY ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
STORMS IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 138 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
TEMPERATURES REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK,
PERHAPS TICKING UP A COUPLE OF MORE DEGREES EXPANDING TRIPLE DIGIT
HEAT TO MUCH OF THE PERMIAN BASIN BY SATURDAY. MODELS ARE BACKING
OFF ON A COLD FRONT THAT EARLIER HAD BEEN DEPICTED AS REACHING THE
BASIN. IT NOW APPEARS THE FRONT WILL STALL TO THE NORTH OF THE
AREA, BUT THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH SHOULD ERODE THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS HIGH ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE HIGH PRESSURE CENTER SHIFTS FROM OUR WEST
LATE IN THE WEEK, TO THE EAST EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING FOR COOLER
GULF AIR TO ADVECT INTO WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO.
GREATER MOISTURE COULD ALSO ALLOW FOR BETTER RAIN CHANCES NEXT
WEEK AND THE NBM IS SHOWING SLIGHT CHANCE TO LOW CHANCE (20-40%)
POPS. THE LACK OF ANY UPPER SUPPORT PREVENTS RAIN CHANCES FROM
GETTING ANY BETTER.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 612 AM CDT TUE SEP 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE THIS TAF PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 100 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 10
CARLSBAD 99 73 100 73 / 0 0 0 10
DRYDEN 100 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 97 73 98 73 / 0 0 0 0
GUADALUPE PASS 89 69 90 69 / 20 0 10 10
HOBBS 97 71 97 71 / 0 0 0 10
MARFA 89 63 90 63 / 20 0 20 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 98 75 98 75 / 0 0 0 0
ODESSA 97 75 98 75 / 0 0 0 0
WINK 99 75 100 74 / 0 0 0 0
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...10
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