511
FXUS64 KMAF 091140
AFDMAF
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
640 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 331 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
- HOT TEMPERATURES PERSIST THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK WITH NEAR RECORD
HEAT POSSIBLE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE HIGHER TERRAIN EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD. STORM CHANCES
INCREASE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE PERMIAN
BASIN THURSDAY AND AGAIN LATE THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 331 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
RADAR THIS MORNING IS SHOWING CONVECTION DEVELOPING. SOME OF THE
CAMS ARE SHOWING THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY CONTINUING FOR A FEW HOURS
BEFORE DISSIPATING LATER THIS MORNING. THERE WILL PROBABLY BE
ISOLATED REDEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING PRIMARILY
IN AND AROUND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS THOUGH A FEW STRAY SHOWERS AND
STORMS COULD DEVELOP ELSEWHERE AS DAYTIME HIGHS REACH UP INTO THE
UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S. TOMORROW WILL BE MUCH LIKE TODAY ON
TEMPERATURES. WE COULD SEE MORE RAINFALL SCATTERED ABOUT THE
PERMIAN BASIN TOMORROW THOUGH AS A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLS TO THE
NORTH SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION IN THE SOUTH PLAINS. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING SOUTHEAST COULD SEND THIS ACTIVITY INTO
THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN WHERE POPS INCREASE.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 331 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
AS THE DISTURBANCE EXITS SOUTHEAST, RAIN CHANCES THEN DIMINISH
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS ADVECT IN WARMER
TEMPERATURES. NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AS
MOST LOCATIONS EXCEED 100 DEGREES. UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE THEN
BECOMES ESTABLISHED TO OUR EAST ADVECTING IN COOLER GULF MOISTURE
TO WEST TEXAS AND EASTERN NEW MEXICO. TEMPERATURES EASE BACK FROM
THE 100S ON SATURDAY TO THE UPPER 90S EARLY NEXT WEEK WHICH IS
STILL 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE GULF
AIR MAY CONTAIN ENOUGH MOISTURE TO ALLOW FOR SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND ADJACENT PLAINS
WEST OF THE PECOS RIVER.
HENNIG
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 0640 AM CDT WED SEP 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS TAF
PERIOD. ISOLATED TS WILL DEVELOP 18-03Z BUT SHOULD REMAIN WEST OF
THE TAF SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BIG SPRING 99 74 98 73 / 0 10 20 10
CARLSBAD 99 73 98 72 / 0 10 20 10
DRYDEN 100 75 100 75 / 0 0 0 0
FORT STOCKTON 98 73 97 73 / 0 0 10 0
GUADALUPE PASS 90 69 88 68 / 20 10 30 10
HOBBS 97 71 96 70 / 0 0 20 10
MARFA 89 62 89 62 / 20 0 30 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT 97 74 97 74 / 0 0 10 10
ODESSA 97 75 97 74 / 0 0 10 10
WINK 99 74 99 74 / 0 0 10 10
MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...NONE.
NM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...SK
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