258
FXUS64 KMEG 200201
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
801 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 752 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES AND A MOIST GROUND HAS CREATED FERTILE
CONDITIONS FOR DENSE FOG ACROSS THE TN RIVER VALLEY INTO NE MS.
SURFACE VISIBILITIES HAVE CRATERED TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS ACROSS
SEVERAL SITES ALONG THE TN RIVER AND THE MS/AL BORDER. HAVE ISSUED
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT, THAT RECENTLY MOVED THROUGH THE I-44
CORRIDOR WILL PUSH ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH OVERNIGHT EVENTUALLY
ENDING THE FOG THREAT. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT
AND BECOME GUSTY AT TIMES ESPECIALLY ONCE THE SUN RISES AND
MIXING INCREASES.
SYNOPSIS
ISSUED AT 255 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
A DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEHIND THE FRONT, MUCH COOLER AIR WILL MOVE
INTO THE REGION WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER
60S. DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME LOCATIONS MAY EXPERIENCE TEMPERATURES NEAR
FREEZING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNING. WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
SKIES ARE SUNNY ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 60S TO MID 70S. A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY
ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS AND INTO NORTH TEXAS.
THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST TONIGHT REACHING THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AROUND MIDNIGHT. RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BE FOUND BEHIND THE
FRONT. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT WITH LOWS
WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S. THE COLD FRONT
SHOULD CLEAR THE MID-SOUTH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH MUCH COOLER AIR
SPREADING ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ON
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE DURING THE PERIOD. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS WEST
TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI COULD SEE LOW TEMPERATURES NEAR
FREEZING FOR FRIDAY MORNING AND SATURDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY BY SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING A
RETURN OF WARMER AIR TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL READINGS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT MAY BRING SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE REGION FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 532 PM CST TUE NOV 19 2024
SKIES HAVE CLEARED OUT MORE DRASTICALLY THAN ANTICIPATED BEHIND
THE INITIAL COLD FRONT, SO MUCH SO THAT THE REINFORCING FRONT
OVERNIGHT NOW LOOKS TO HAVE LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED
WITH IT. THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 25
KTS AS THE SECONDARY FRONT TIGHTENS THE GRADIENT OVERNIGHT. VFR
EXPECTED FOR ALL SITES, BARRING SOME LOCALIZED HAZE IN EASTERN AR
FROM AGRICULTURAL BURNING THAT MAY TEMPORARILY REDUCE JBR'S
VISIBILITY.
CAD
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR MSZ004>006-009-
016-017-024.
TN...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY FOR TNZ021-022-
052>055-090>092.
PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...CAD
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