022
FXUS64 KMEG 290909
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
309 AM CST WED JAN 29 2025
..NEW SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION
SYNOPSIS
ISSUED AT 305 AM CST WED JAN 29 2025
DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL START TO MOVE INTO THE REGION TONIGHT AHEAD OF A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH ON THURSDAY BEFORE ENDING FRIDAY MORNING AS
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION. SOME LOCATIONS
IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL COULD SEE OVER 2
INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. DRY AND MILD WEATHER
WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 50S AND 60S.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CST WED JAN 29 2025
SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLEAR ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S. CURRENTLY, HIGH
PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.
THIS HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST TODAY WITH DRY AND MILD
WEATHER EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT. RAIN
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE LOW AND COULD START
TO MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH BY EARLY THIS
EVENING WITH SHOWERS BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT WITH LOWS THURSDAY MORNING IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
AS THE SURFACE LOW NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY FROM SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS, MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS SOUTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH COULD BE STRONG WITH
SOME GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL WHERE
OVER 2" OF PRECIPITATION IS POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE
WARM FOR LATE JANUARY WITH HIGHS ON THURSDAY IN THE LOWER 60S TO
AROUND 70 DEGREES. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS
NORTH OF THE REGION.
BY FRIDAY MORNING, THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE OVER EAST-CENTRAL
ILLINOIS WITH RAIN ENDING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE MID-SOUTH.
BY FRIDAY EVENING, THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL.
THIS WILL BRING A RETURN OF DRY AND MILD WEATHER TO THE REGION FOR
THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TO START OFF
FEBRUARY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST TUE JAN 28 2025
SOUTHWEST WIND 5-7 KTS WILL VEER NORTHWEST BY MID-MORNING BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE DAY. GENERALLY VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THOUGH PATCHY
FOG/STRATUS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY SOUTH OF A CKM-TUP LINE LATE
TONIGHT. MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY, GRADUALLY
LOWERING DURING THE EVENING HOURS WITH RAIN CHANCES ARRIVING BY
06Z AT MEM/JBR. LOW CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EAST ACROSS
THE MID-SOUTH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS
AVIATION...MJ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page