208
FXUS64 KMEG 030537
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1137 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1132 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2025
- A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AN INTENSE
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON TUESDAY WITH SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE MID-
SOUTH FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ALONG WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 240 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2025
SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. HIGH PRESSURE WAS
CENTERED OVER SOUTHWEST INDIANA.
AS THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST INTO NORTHERN KENTUCKY TONIGHT, WINDS WILL
BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT WHICH WILL START TO BRING MILDER
AIR INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COLD AS LAST
NIGHT WITH LOWS MONDAY MORNING IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WINDS WILL BE SOUTHERLY ON MONDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM
BRINGING WARMER AIR TO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON
MONDAY. WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE, LITTLE IF ANY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP AS THIS DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH.
AN INTENSE STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL KANSAS BY
TUESDAY MORNING AND TRACK NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MID-SOUTH FOR TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
WHILE IT APPEARS THAT THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
REMAIN TO OUR SOUTH, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH
LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE. OUTSIDE OF THE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS, WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY
WITH DRY AND COOLER WEATHER FOR THE MID-SOUTH FOR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY. A NEW
STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS ON FRIDAY AND
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE
SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE MID-SOUTH FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL READINGS FOR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1132 PM CST SUN MAR 2 2025
VFR THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL SLOWLY VEER TO THE SE BY MID MORNING.
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL PICK UP TOMORROW NIGHT AT MEM AND JBR
WITH THE APPROACH OF A LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH.
AC3
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS
AVIATION...AC3
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