225
FXUS64 KMEG 051120
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
520 AM CST WED MAR 5 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 510 AM CST WED MAR 5 2025
- STRONG WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECT GUSTS OVER 40 MPH AT TIMES.
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS TO THE MID-
SOUTH FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW. SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVE IN FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES AND MOSTLY DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN THROUGH
MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 AM CST WED MAR 5 2025
ANOTHER WINDY MORNING IS CURRENTLY ON DISPLAY WITH TEMPERATURES IN
THE LOW TO MID 50S WITH A DECENT ALTO STRATUS DECK BUILDING IN
FROM THE WEST. A POWERFUL UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM, CURRENTLY
CENTERED OVER THE UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY, CONTINUES TO CHURN
WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE MID-SOUTH. ISOLATED WRAP
AROUND RAIN SHOWERS AND A DECENT STRATUS DECK WILL BUILD IN OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS THIS UPPER LOW ROTATES INTO THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY. GRADIENT WINDS WILL BE ELEVATED ONCE AGAIN TODAY
WITH WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 40 MPH AT TIMES. THUS, THE CURRENT WIND
ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING. WINDS
WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO DAMPEN AROUND SUNSET TONIGHT AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW ROTATES INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
REGION, WEAKENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER OUR AREA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER TODAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
LOWER 50S, BEHIND YESTERDAY'S COLD FRONT. AMPLE RADIATIONAL
COOLING WILL BE PRESENT TOMORROW MORNING CREATING A CHILLY MORNING
WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. A WARMING TREND BEGINS
TOMORROW AS TEMPERATURES EDGE CLOSER TO NORMAL AS NORTHWEST FLOW
AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILD INTO THE REGION. BY FRIDAY, WE'RE
BACK INTO THE 60S AND 70S AS UPPER-LEVEL ZONAL FLOW MOVES OVER THE
REGION AND ELEVATED SOUTHWEST WINDS USHER IN. FRIDAY EVENING, A
SURFACE LOW AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS, GIVING LIFT TO
ISOLATED SHOWERS MAINLY ALONG THE TENNESSEE RIVER. SCATTERED
SHOWERS, BROUGHT IN BY A CUT-OFF LOW PUSHING IN FROM THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS AND INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION, WILL MOVE OVER
AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40 SATURDAY AND INTO SATURDAY
EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER SATURDAY, BEHIND
FRIDAY'S COLD FRONT WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S.
COME SUNDAY, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY BUILDS OVER THE
REGION, DRYING US OUT AND BEGINNING YET ANOTHER WARMING TREND
THROUGH AT LEAST MID-WEEK. THE WEATHER PATTERN IN THE LATTER PART
OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS UNSETTLED... STAY TUNED.
AEH
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 520 AM CST WED MAR 5 2025
MVFR CIGS CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AIRSPACE THIS MORNING,
WITH SOME BREAKS EXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL CLEAR
OVERNIGHT, WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS
CONTINUE, WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 25 TO 35 KTS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH
OF THE DAY. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BY 00Z, FADING BACK
TO AROUND 10 KTS OR BELOW BY 06Z.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR ARZ009-018-026>028-
035-036-048-049-058.
MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MOZ113-115.
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ001>017-020>024.
TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR TNZ001>004-019>022-
048>055-088>092.
PUBLIC FORECAST...AEH
AVIATION...CMA
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