710  
FXUS64 KMEG 062334 AAA  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
534 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 517 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025  
 
-MOSTLY DRY AND SEASONAL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE  
WORK WEEK.  
 
-LIGHT SHOWERS EMERGING FRIDAY NIGHT AND BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD  
BY SATURDAY MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE  
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.  
 
-DRY CONDITIONS RETURN EARLY SUNDAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL  
PREVAIL THROUGH MIDWEEK. RAIN CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY AS THE  
WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 251 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025  
 
WARMER TEMPERATURES HAVE ARRIVED IN THE MIDSOUTH AND WILL CONTINUE  
TO WARM TOMORROW. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND A WEAK RIDGE ALOFT HAVE  
RESULTED IN CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH TODAY  
AND SHOULD CONTINUE TOMORROW AS BOTH OF THESE FEATURES SHIFT EAST  
INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE. HIGHS TOMORROW SHOULD BE MOSTLY IN THE 60S  
ACROSS THE AREA, ALTHOUGH A FEW LOW 70S ARE POSSIBLE IN NORTH  
MISSISSIPPI. RETURN FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTH CENTRAL US  
TOMORROW AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT POISED TO MOVE ACROSS THE  
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT. POST FRONTAL RAIN  
SHOWERS SHOULD BEGIN LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE SATURDAY.  
INSTABILITY LOOKS MINIMAL SATURDAY AFTERNOON, BUT AN ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN NORTH MISSISSIPPI.  
 
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN LATE SUNDAY, BUT THERE  
REMAINS CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT IN HOW LONG SHOWERS WILL LINGER.  
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER SUNDAY THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH MOST OF  
THE AREA IN THE 70S TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. RAIN CHANCES RETURN  
WEDNESDAY AS THE WEATHER PATTERN BECOMES UNSETTLED DUE TO AN  
UPPER LOW MOVING ACROSS THE LOWER TO MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER  
VALLEY.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 533 PM CST THU MAR 6 2025  
 
NO SIGNIFICANT AVIATION WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH 12Z, AS DRY  
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS.  
 
THE SURFACE HIGH WILL LIFT OFF TO THE EAST ON FRIDAY, WITH A  
QUICK AND VIGOROUS RETURN OF SOUTHERLY SURFACE FLOW BY LATE  
MORNING. SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO THE SOUTHWEST  
THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY, IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AFTER  
06Z SATURDAY.  
 
PWB  
 
 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS  
AVIATION...PWB  
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