745  
FNUS74 KMEG 120925  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HS39-1...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
425 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 CDT ON MARCH 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. DRY WEATHER WILL  
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AFTERNOON RH LEVELS WILL BE  
BETWEEN 25 TO 30 PERCENT OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH  
AND AROUND 35 PERCENT ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BETTER  
WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL ARRIVE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).500 FT MSL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 5AM  
SKY (%).........2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
TEMP............52  
RH..............66  
20 FT WIND DIR..S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3  
20 FT WIND GUST.11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5  
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).500-3800 FT MSL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 3 0 4 2 2 3 2 3 3 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 51 53 58 63 67 71 73 76 78 78 78  
RH..............71 66 64 59 52 47 42 40 36 33 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 16 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.8  
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW SW S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 12 16 14 16 17 17 20 21 21 21  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW S SW SW S S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 5 7 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 3 2 4 6 7 9 10 11 11  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 3  
AM.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT BECOMING SOUTH AROUND  
5 MPH AFTER 3 AM BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).500-1400 FT MSL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 3 14 50 67 85 91 91 87 90 93 82  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30 40 50  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30 40 50  
TEMP............76 72 70 66 64 62 62 61 61 61 60 60  
RH..............36 48 53 61 65 70 70 72 75 75 78 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 3 5 3 3 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8  
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.4 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 13 14 14 13 13 14 15 15 15 13  
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...SNIEZAK  
REQUESTED BY...GOYINGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2506052.0/MEG  
.DELDT 03/12/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEFFREY.GOYINGS@USDA.GOV  
 
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