681
FNUS74 KMEG 120927
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR HS 43-1/2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
427 AM CDT WED MAR 12 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 CDT ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
NO FOG IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING. DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AFTERNOON RH LEVELS WILL BE
BETWEEN 25 TO 30 PERCENT OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH
AND AROUND 35 PERCENT ELSEWHERE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BETTER
WETTING RAIN CHANCES WILL ARRIVE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
CHC OF THDR (%).0
TEMP............51
RH..............68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3
20 FT WIND GUST.11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1
VENTRATE CAT....PR
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2 2 3 1 4 2 2 2 2 3 4 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 51 52 58 63 67 71 73 76 78 78 77
RH..............71 66 66 59 52 47 41 40 36 33 33 35
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW S SW SW S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.11 10 12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW S S S S SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 16 14 15 16 17 18 21 21 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 3 2 4 6 7 8 10 11 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 3
AM.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH AFTER 3 AM BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 3 14 53 66 84 91 91 89 90 93 83
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 40 50
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 40 50
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............76 71 70 65 63 62 61 61 61 60 60 60
RH..............34 49 51 60 67 70 72 72 72 78 78 81
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 11 12 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW S SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 13 14 13 12 13 15 15 16 15 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT IN THE
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........80 66 68 62 82 72 65 57 49 40 32 28
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40 60 60 60 60 60 60 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 60 60 60 60 60 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).10 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 10 10
TEMP............59 58 59 60 62 65 68 71 72 73 74 72
RH..............83 90 87 87 84 78 69 61 59 56 53 56
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.4 3.3 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9 9 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 4 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...SNIEZAK
REQUESTED BY...GOYINGS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506054.0/MEG
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEFFREY.GOYINGS@USDA.GOV
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