164
FXUS64 KMEG 130454
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1154 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1151 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2025
- SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- WARMER WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE REGION FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AHEAD OF ANOTHER COLD FRONT.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2025
SKIES REMAIN SUNNY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. HIGH PRESSURE IS
CURRENTLY CENTERED ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
AS THE SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST TONIGHT, WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST BRINGING MILDER AIR INTO THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE AS COLD TONIGHT WITH LOWS SUNDAY MORNING
IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. SUNDAY WILL BE WARMER WITH SOUTH
WINDS INCREASING AS THE SURFACE HIGH REACHES THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON, SO A WIND
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SOME 10 TO 15 DEGREES
WARMER THAN TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.
DRY AND WARMER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL BE LIMITED BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON TUESDAY WITH A PERIOD OF DRY
WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY AND
INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE MID-SOUTH BOTH DAYS. ALONG WITH THE
WARMER AIR, SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE MID-SOUTH ON THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ON FRIDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT SAT APR 12 2025
VFR. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL BEGIN TOMORROW MORNING IN RESPONSE TO
A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHING FROM THE
NORTHWEST. GUSTS COULD APPROACH 35 KNOTS AT JBR AND MEM. LLWS
WILL AFFECT ALL SITES AFTER SUNDOWN TOMORROW.
AC3
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS
AVIATION...AC3
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