543
FXUS64 KMEG 131516
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1016 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
..NEW UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1013 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
- SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO
THE MIDSOUTH FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1013 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
SKIES ARE SUNNY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THIS MORNING WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 60S. WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED
MAINLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE MID-SOUTH. SUSTAINED WINDS OF
15 TO 20 MPH CAN BE FOUND WHERE THE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
A WARM AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.
ARS
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
WARMER CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE MIDSOUTH TODAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE 10-15 DEGREES WARMER THAN SATURDAY, GENERALLY IN THE
MIDDLE 70S TO LOW 80S. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
TODAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US
AND A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR FAR NORTHWEST TENNESSEE, THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL AND
A PORTION OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. WINDS MAY GUST OVER 30 MPH. NBM
PROBABILISTIC GUIDANCE HAS A 70% CHANCE OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF 25
MPH OR HIGHER FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. SATURATED SOILS FROM
RECENT STORMS COULD MAKE TREES PARTICULARLY PRONE TO FALL.
ADDITIONALLY, ANY DAMAGED TREES OR BROKEN TREE LIMBS THAT HAVEN'T
FALLEN COULD POSE A THREAT DUE TO HIGH WIND.
WINDS SHOULD RELAX A BIT MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH
LATE TOMORROW AND TOMORROW NIGHT. MOISTURE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL BE LIMITED, SO PRECIPITATION WILL BE SPARSE. GUIDANCE
HAS NEARLY COMPLETELY REMOVED ANY POPS FOR THE MIDSOUTH MONDAY
NIGHT.
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BE OUR COOLEST PERIOD OVER
THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS, FEATURING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 60S TUESDAY AND MORNING LOWS IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 40S
WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WORK WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S BY FRIDAY.
A CUTOFF LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE IN CALIFORNIA FRIDAY AND INTO THE
FOUR CORNERS AREA SATURDAY RESULTING IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. CONSEQUENTLY, SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE MIDSOUTH FRIDAY
AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 614 AM CDT SUN APR 13 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AIRSPACE AS HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATES. DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PUSHING IN FROM THE WEST
WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS, UP TO 30 KTS, THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
LLWS WILL IMPACT ALL TAF SITES BEGINNING AFTER 00Z AS A LLJ DIPS
DOWN ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH.
AEH
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ARZ009-018-026>028-
035.
MO...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ113-115.
MS...NONE.
TN...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TNZ001.
PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS
AVIATION...AEH
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