063  
FXUS64 KMEG 140103  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
803 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
UPDATED AT 758 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025  
 
- SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
- DRY WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR  
MONDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT BUT  
MOST LOCATIONS WILL NOT SEE ANY RAIN.  
 
- COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE REGION TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY.  
 
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TO  
THE MIDSOUTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 245 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025  
 
SKIES REMAIN SUNNY ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON WITH  
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. HIGH PRESSURE WAS  
CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S.  
 
WITH THE HIGH TO OUR EAST, SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING MILD  
AIR INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL TONIGHT  
WITH LOWS MONDAY MORNING IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. MONDAY WILL  
REMAIN DRY AND WARM AS HIGHS REACH THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. WITH  
LIMITED MOISTURE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT, ONLY AN ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE WITH LITTLE IF ANY RAINFALL. HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT WITH DRY  
WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND BACK ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY AS SOUTH  
WINDS RETURN TO THE REGION. DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
TO CONTINUE FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. A SLOW MOVING COLD  
FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT AND  
SATURDAY. EXPECT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE  
FRONT ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH DURING THIS PERIOD.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(00Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 758 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2025  
 
VFR FORECAST THIS TAF PERIOD. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL IN  
SPEED THIS EVENING OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WITH A FEW HIGH  
CLOUDS. AS MIXING CEASES TONIGHT, LLWS WILL AFFECT ALL TERMINALS  
THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING AT AROUND 14Z. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN  
THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW AND VEER AHEAD OF A NEW COLD FRONT. SOME  
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AT MEM/JBR/MKL, BUT DRY AIR WILL REDUCE THE  
COVERAGE OF RAIN AT THE SURFACE. THEREFORE, HAVE VCSH AT THESE  
SITES AND WILL LIKELY TRIM THE TIME THEY ARE PRESENT IN THE NEXT  
ISSUANCE.  
 
 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC FORECAST...ARS  
AVIATION...JAB  
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