366
FNUS74 KMEG 161043
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR HS IU 98-1...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
543 AM CDT WED APR 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO
AROUND 20% THIS AFTERNOON LIGHT 20 FT WINDS. ELEVATED WINDS WILL
INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT TOMORROW MORNING. 20 FT WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY TOMORROW WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 30%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR BOTH DAYS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1006-1524 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1 2 7 12 5 5 7 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63 67 69 71 72 74 74 74
DEWPOINT........34 32 31 30 30 31 31 33
RH..............34 27 24 22 21 20 20 22
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E SE S S SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 5 5 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.8 4.3 4.7 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.8
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N NW W W W SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 5 5 5 6 5 5
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE N NW W W W SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 2 2 2 3 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 3 3 3 4 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............37 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-914 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........9 16 19 24 14 20 23 26 25 28 35 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............72 69 64 60 58 56 55 54 53 52 52 52
DEWPOINT........35 39 39 40 40 39 39 40 40 40 40 40
RH..............26 33 40 47 51 53 55 59 61 63 63 63
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............42 INCREASING TO 47 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1676 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 9 METERS/SECOND.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (15600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........41 14 10 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............52 60 75 81
DEWPOINT........41 46 48 48
RH..............66 60 38 32
20 FT WIND......SE 6G11 S 7G14 S 9G17 S 9G18
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1600 3900 5300
MIX HGT (M).....120 490 1190 1620
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 15 S 20 S 21
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 5 S 7 S 9 S 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 3 10 15
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...HERDLISKA
REQUESTED BY...JOHN TOWNSEND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510533.0/MEG
.DELDT 04/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN.TOWNSEND@USDA.GOV
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