864
FNUS74 KMEG 161105
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR HS IU 140/141...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
605 AM CDT WED APR 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
OVER THE REGION. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL TO
AROUND 25% THIS AFTERNOON LIGHT 20 FT WINDS. ELEVATED WINDS WILL
INHIBIT FOG DEVELOPMENT TOMORROW MORNING. 20 FT WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY TOMORROW WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AROUND 30%.
SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE POOR BOTH DAYS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............36 INCREASING TO 40 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...884-1433 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND DECREASING TO
1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 2
METERS/SECOND IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 10 8 7 6 5 6 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63 66 69 71 73 74 75 74
DEWPOINT........38 35 35 36 36 37 38 40
RH..............39 32 28 28 26 26 26 29
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE S S SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 5 6 6 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.7 4.1 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE N SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 3 5 5 5 5 5
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE N SW SW SW SW S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 1 2 2 2 2 2
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 2 3 3 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............42.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-884 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7 TO
9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........5 10 8 17 14 14 8 14 15 20 28 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73 70 64 61 59 57 56 55 54 54 53 53
DEWPOINT........40 44 44 43 42 43 43 43 43 43 43 43
RH..............30 39 48 51 53 59 62 64 66 66 69 69
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 10 10 10 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............45 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 19 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1585 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 22 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 5 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (15600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........18 27 16 10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............53 60 75 80
DEWPOINT........43 50 54 54
RH..............69 69 48 41
20 FT WIND......SE 3G12 S 5G14 S 7G18 S 8G19
MIX HGT (FT)....300 1500 3800 5100
MIX HGT (M).....90 460 1160 1550
TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 15 S 18 S 22
TRAN WIND (M/S).S 4 S 7 S 8 S 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 3 10 15
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...HERDLISKA
REQUESTED BY...JOHN TOWNSEND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2510584.0/MEG
.DELDT 04/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN.TOWNSEND@USDA.GOV
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