870
FXUS64 KMEG 280447
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1147 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1143 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
- MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY.
- ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
- DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
- BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WORKWEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL EDGE CLOSER TO NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS PUSHING THROUGH THE LOWER MS VALLEY WITH
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE MID-SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON.
PRECIP CHANCES WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING AS THE DISTURBANCE
MOVES EAST. EXPECT A GOOD DEAL OF LOW CLOUDINESS TO LINGER
OVERNIGHT BUT ANY CLEARING WILL PROMOTE FOG DEVELOPMENT. LOWS WILL
RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 60S.
WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE A DOWNRIGHT PLEASANT DAY ESPECIALLY
CONSIDERING THE RECENT WEATHER. AN UPPER LOW WILL BE LOCATED OVER
THE UPPER MS VALLEY WITH ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH. THE
FLOW LOOKS FREE OF DISTURBANCES SO EXPECT A DRY AND MILD DAY
THOUGH CANNOT RULE OUT A ROGUE SHOWER.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE PUSHES ACROSS THE ARKLATEX INTO LOWER MS VALLEY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ON THURSDAY A DECENT PIECE OF ENERGY WILL ROTATE
AROUND THE UPPER LOW THAT WILL BE DRIFTING SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE
NORTHERN STATES. THIS WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUATION
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. SEVERE CHANCES LOOK
MINIMAL THOUGH COLD AIR ALOFT OVER A WARM, RELATIVELY MOIST
BOUNDARY LAYER COULD PRODUCE A FEW STRONG STORMS.
NW FLOW WILL PREDOMINATE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AND THESE DAYS SHOULD BE DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE
COOL INITIALLY WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S FRIDAY WARMING TO THE LOWER
80S BY SATURDAY.
WE WOULD LIKE TO SAY THIS WEEKEND LOOKS 100% DRY AND BEAUTIFUL BUT
THERE COULD BE A FLY IN THE OINTMENT. 12Z MODELS CONTINUE TO
POINT TOWARD A NW FLOW SURPRISE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. WE WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THIS.
UPPER RIDGING WILL START BUILDING INTO THE REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH TEMPS CLIMBING ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A WHILE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT TUE MAY 27 2025
A MIX OF CONDITIONS IN THE SHORT TERM WITH LOWEST CIGS AT JBR AND
MEM RIGHT NOW. MEM WILL REMAIN ON THE LINE OF MVFR AND VFR IN THE
SHORT TERRM.
LOWERING CIGS ARE EXPECTED AT BOTH MKL AND TUP OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. A FEW STRAY SHRAS WILL SKIRT ACROSS THE AREA IN THE
AFTERNOON, BUT COVERAGE AND CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO ADD TO TAF.
VFR CONDS WILL RETURN TO ALL SITES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THERE IS
SOME FOG POTENTIAL EARLY THURSDAY MORNING, MAINLY AT TUP.
AC3
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...AC3
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page