852
FXUS64 KMEG 012005
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
305 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 257 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
- ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI
THROUGH THIS EVENING. AFTER TODAY, RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN LOW
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- NOTICEABLY LOWER HUMIDITY WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY,
WITH LOW TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 60S EACH MORNING.
- HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL CREEP BACK UP ON INDEPENDENCE DAY AND
CONTINUE TO BUILD EACH DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES
WILL REMAIN LOW (<15%).
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 257 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
CURRENTLY....A COLD FRONT EXTENDS QUEBEC, CANADA SOUTHWEST
THROUGH CLEVELAND, OHIO AND BACK INTO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
ARE NOTED ON RADAR OVER NORTH MISSISSIPPI. STORM MODE HAS BEEN
PREDOMINANTLY SINGLE CELL WITH WET MICROBURSTS, DUE TO THE LACK OF
APPRECIABLE SHEAR ALOFT. THE CHANCE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER
NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL REMAIN LOW
(<15%), AS STORM MODE WILL REMAIN LARGELY THE SAME.
SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH INDEPENDENCE DAY...
THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE ENTIRE MID-
SOUTH BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE REGION AND PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL
RESULT IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES, NOTICEABLY LOWER HUMIDITY,
AND LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION EACH DAY. THE FOURTH OF JULY
HOLIDAY WILL FEATURE LOW TO MID 90S AND DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
ENTIRE MID-SOUTH.
LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
A DIRTY 591 DAM RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID 90S EACH DAY, WITH MAINLY
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS (<15% COVERAGE) ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
SEVERAL WEAKNESSES WILL DEVELOP IN THE RIDGE EARLY NEXT WEEK
RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY HIGHER COVERAGE OF DIURNAL CONVECTION.
AC3
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
RELATIVELY QUIET TAF PERIOD THIS ISSUANCE. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH ACROSS THE AIRSPACE. THOUGH, A FEW INTERMITTENT
DROPS TO MVFR AT TUP AS CONVECTION MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. A FRONT WILL IMPACT TUP WITH CONVECTION NOW
THROUGH THIS EVENING. NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS SUB 10 KTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
AEH
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 257 PM CDT TUE JUL 1 2025
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. SLIGHTLY LOWER HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BEHIND PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT. HEAT AND
HUMIDITY WILL QUICKLY BUILD BACK IN FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY AND
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AC3
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...AC3
AVIATION...AEH
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page