248
FXUS64 KMEG 080416
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1116 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1036 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
- PLEASANT AND UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE INTO
MONDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S AND LOWS IN THE
50S.
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY MIDWEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING BACK INTO THE 90S, LIKELY WORSENING ONGOING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1036 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ON MONDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE MID-SOUTH. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL, IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.
UNFORTUNATELY, PLEASANT TEMPERATURES WILL NOT STICK AROUND FOR
LONG AS AN OMEGA BLOCK FORMS BY MIDWEEK. THE CENTER OF A 593 DAM
RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST ON WEDNESDAY, ALLOWING WAA INTO THE MID-
SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM EACH DAY WITH HIGHS ON FRIDAY IN THE
MID 90S. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOT, THIS HEAT WAVE WILL NOT
BE OPPRESSIVE. DAILY LOWS IN THE 60S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER
50S WILL KEEP HEAT INDICES WELL BELOW HEAT HEADLINE THRESHOLD.
AS FOR PRECIPITATION, THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK WILL BE DRY. CURRENT
AREAS OF D1 MODERATE DROUGHT MAY WORSEN TO D2 SEVERE DROUGHT BY
THE END OF THE WEEK.
ANS
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1115 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
VFR. LIGHT NE WINDS GENERALLY 5-9 KTS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1036 PM CDT SUN SEP 7 2025
INCREASED FIRE DANGER WILL EXIST THIS WEEK AS PROLONGED DRY
CONDITIONS LOWER FUEL MOISTURE. IN ADDITION, MINRH VALUES WILL
REMAIN IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE. LUCKILY, LIGHT 20FT WINDS
SHOULD HAMPER WILDFIRE SPREAD, BUT ANY VEGETATION THAT DOES IGNITE WILL
HAVE PLENTY OF DRY FUELS TO WORK WITH.
ANS
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...SJM
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