699
FXUS64 KMEG 130428
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1128 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1126 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
- HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE MID-SOUTH.
- TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO EXCEED 90 DEGREES FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.
- DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OR WORSEN DUE TO LACK
OF PRECIPITATION AND PROLONGED HEAT. THIS ALSO RAISES WILDLAND
FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH AT LEAST NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
00Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS FEATURES AN OMEGA BLOCK LOCATED FROM THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE UPPER MIDWEST, WITH UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHS
ALONG BOTH THE EAST AND WEST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES ARE PREVAILING ACROSS THE MID-SOUTH LATE THIS EVENING
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S.
THE AFOREMENTIONED OMEGA BLOCK IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY INTO NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES
REMAINING WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID-SEPTEMBER WITH HIGHS IN THE
90S AND LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE REMAINING TOO MINIMAL TO MENTION AT THIS
TIME.
LONG-RANGE ENSEMBLES INDICATE THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE MAY WEAKEN
TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK BRINGING A VERY SLIGHT INCREASE IN
RAIN CHANCES NORTH OF I-40. HOWEVER, ANY APPRECIABLE RAIN TO
ALLEVIATE THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IS NOT EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT TAF
SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1126 PM CDT FRI SEP 12 2025
AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE WITH MAINLY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS THE AREA INTO NEXT WEEK. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL AVERAGE AROUND 30 PERCENT. HOWEVER,
20 FOOT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...CJC
AVIATION...CJC
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