809  
FNUS54 KMEG 152031  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE INTO MIDWEEK. DRY FUELS AND  
MINRH AROUND 30 PERCENT WILL ENCOURAGE WILDLAND FIRE DEVELOPMENT.  
HOWEVER, LIGHT 20FT WINDS WILL KEEP FIRE SPREAD TO A MINIMUM.  
SPOTTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON,  
BUT NOT EVERYONE WILL SEE PRECIPITATION. GREATER WETTING RAIN  
CHANCES RETURN ON FRIDAY.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-160900-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-1) 92 (-1) 65 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+8) 42 (-4) 96 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR NE 4 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5900 9000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 2800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6200 9300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 3 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 NE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5700 8400  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 3 NE 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 7 NE 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 7 15 6 21  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
34 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-160900-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 11 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-3) 92 (-1) 66 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 43 (-3) 100 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1800 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6100 7300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 7500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 2 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 5 NE 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3800 6900  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 83  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NW 2 NE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NW 5 NE 6  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 12 6 21  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH  
35 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY SUNNY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90.  
MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-160900-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (-4) 93 (+1) 63 94  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 39 (-6) 99 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 2500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6400 8300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2100 2700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6800 8700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 2 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 5 NE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4200 8100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 81 81  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 2 E 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 5 E 4  
DISPERSION INDEX 6 13 6 18  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
38 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 44 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-160900-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-5) 92 (0) 63 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 41 (-6) 100 35  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1700 2300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5700 7700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1800 2500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6100 8100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 2 E 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 3 E 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 7500  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 80 82  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 E 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 6 E 5  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 12 6 18  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
44 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-160900-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 11 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-2) 93 (+1) 66 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+8) 43 (-3) 100 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 2100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6100 7000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1900 2200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6300 7200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NW 2 NE 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 5 NE 5  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3800 4400  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 83 82  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 2 NE 2  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 6 NE 4  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 13 6 15  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 90S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 43 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-160900-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CDT MON SEP 15 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (-3) 92 (+2) 64 93  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+8) 41 (-6) 98 36  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1900 1900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6200 6200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 2000 2000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 6600 6600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 2 SE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 5 SE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 6000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 82 81  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 3 SE 3  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 7 SE 7  
DISPERSION INDEX 5 15 5 16  
STABILITY CLASS F B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
37 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. MINIMUM RH  
42 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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