579
FNUS74 KMEG 011848
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR DUNCAN LAKE BURN...TDF WEST TENNESSEE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
148 PM CDT WED OCT 1 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS AND MINIMAL RAIN CHANCES ARE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY. RH
VALUES WILL BE AROUND 40% AT THE BEGINNING OF THE BURN. FORECAST
FUEL MOISTURE REMAINS WET ENOUGH TO HAVE LITTLE TO NO CONCERN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).4500-5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...1372-1707 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND.
5000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 6 6 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............85 86 87 85
DEWPOINT........60 60 61 61
RH..............43 42 42 45
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 5.6 5.6 4.5
MX HT MSL (KFT).5.1 5.6 5.6 4.5
MIX HGT (KM)....1.6 1.7 1.7 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 7
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE E
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3
5000 FT WND DIR.SE SE E E
5000 FT WND SPD.6 6 7 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............60 DECREASING TO 56 AFTER 3 AM.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).400-900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-274 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.
5000 FT WINDS.......EAST 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 12
TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........3 5 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............83 79 73 71 69 68 67 66 65 64 62 62
DEWPOINT........61 61 62 62 62 62 61 60 59 58 57 56
RH..............48 54 68 73 78 81 81 81 81 81 84 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TRANS WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
5000 FT WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE
5000 FT WND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............56 INCREASING TO 59 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).400-6200 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1890 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO
10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE EAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
5000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12
TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........3 1 3 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 69 79 83
DEWPOINT........55 55 57 59
RH..............81 61 47 44
20 FT WIND......SE 3G10 SE 5G10 SE 3G8 E 3G8
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1400 3600 5700
MX HT MSL (FT)..400 1400 3600 5700
MIX HGT (M).....120 430 1100 1740
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 SE 12 E 10 E 10
TRAN WIND (M/S).SE 5 SE 5 E 4 E 4
5000 FT WIND....SE 10 SE 8 E 12 E 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 5 8
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...MEADOWS
REQUESTED BY...JON MCFARLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522845.0/MEG
.DELDT 10/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JON.MCFARLAND@TN.GOV
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