197
FXUS64 KMEG 080416
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1116 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1050 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE 70S FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK UP THIS WEEKEND WITH HIGHS REACHING
INTO THE MID 80S BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1050 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
A COLD FRONT STRETCHES FROM NEAR JONESBORO TO UNION CITY THIS
EVENING AND IS MARKED BY AN INCREASE IN NORTHERLY WINDS. THE FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH CLOUDS
AND A FEW WEAK SHOWERS, MAINLY NORTH OF I-40.
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S. EXPECT SOME 40S
ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS
ABOUT A 10 PERCENT CHANCE OF SEEING A READING IN THE UPPER 30S
ALONG THE KY BORDER ON THURSDAY MORNING.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY THIS
WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, TEMPS WILL START CLIMBING
WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH MID 80S FOR HIGHS BY MONDAY CONTINUING WELL
INTO THE NEXT WORK WEEK. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION IS ON THE
HORIZON.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1022 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
POST-FRONTAL LOW STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO START DEVELOPING WITHIN
THE NEXT 6 HOURS OR SO. THIS WILL MOST LIKELY BE A MOVING BAND OF
LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REINFORCING BOUNDARY OF DRIER AIR,
NOT A STATIONARY THICK DECK. AS SUCH, THE TIME FRAME FOR MVFR
CEILINGS OVERNIGHT ARE A LITTLE SHORTER THAN A NORMAL TRANSITIONAL
SEASON FROPA. IF ANY SITE WERE TO DROP TO IFR OVERNIGHT, IT WOULD
MOST LIKELY BE TUPELO. ALL TERMINALS SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUICK TO
IMPROVE BACK TO VFR NO LATER THAN 18Z WED. WINDS LOOK VERY
PERSISTENT FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS AFTER
SUNRISE.
CAD
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1050 PM CDT TUE OCT 7 2025
RECENT WETTING RAINS WILL RESULT IN LOW FIRE DANGER FOR THE NEXT
FEW DAYS. FUELS WILL GRADUALLY DRY OUT AS TEMPERATURES WARM AND
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALL TO BETWEEN 35 TO 45 PERCENT THIS
WEEKEND. THIS MAY RESULT IN A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...SJM
AVIATION...CAD
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page