777
FXUS64 KMEG 081555
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1055 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1055 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
- HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION BRINGING COOLER
TEMPERATURES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE IN THE 70S THROUGH FRIDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM BACK UP THIS WEEKEND WITH HIGHS REACHING
INTO THE MID 80S BY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1055 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
COOL AND DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER INTO THE MID-SOUTH TODAY
BEHIND A COLD FRONT. OVERNIGHT, DEWPOINTS WILL DROP TO THE UPPER
40S AREAWIDE. CONTINUAL CAA WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES ON
THURSDAY TO REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 70S, BRINGING THE FIRST TASTE
OF FALL TO THE MID-SOUTH. OVERNIGHT LOWS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WILL
DROP INTO THE MID 40S FOR AREAS ALONG THE TN/KY BORDER.
UNFORTUNATELY, A WARMING TREND WILL RESUME THIS WEEKEND AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OVER TEXAS. LUCKILY, THIS RIDGE WILL HAVE
A HARD TIME PUSHING EAST THROUGH SUNDAY AS MULTIPLE SHORTWAVES
TRAVERSE NORTHERN AND EASTERN CONUS. HIGHS ON SUNDAY WILL BE IN
THE LOW 80S.
ADDITIONAL WARMING IS FORECAST FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK AS
THE CENTER OF THE AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE PUSHES TOWARDS THE MID-
SOUTH. BY MIDWEEK, HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. FOR NOW,
NO RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
ANS
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 600 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
FROPA ONGOING AT KMEM RESULTING IN MVFR CEILINGS AND GUSTY WINDS.
POST FRONTAL MVFR CEILINGS WILL LINGER FOR A FEW HOURS BEFORE
SCATTERING AND/OR LIFTING TO VFR. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED AND GUSTY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY DUE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT, BUT ALL TERMINALS SHOULD BE BACK TO VFR BY THIS
AFTERNOON.
DNM
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1055 AM CDT WED OCT 8 2025
A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER IS ANTICIPATED THIS WEEKEND AS
PROLONGED DRY CONDITIONS LEAD TO LESS FUEL MOISTURE. IN ADDITION,
MINRH IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENTILE RANGE WILL SUPPORT A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN FIRE DANGER.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...DNM
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