671  
FXUS64 KMEG 121128  
AFDMEG  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
628 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025  
   
..NEW AVIATION
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
UPDATED AT 628 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025  
 
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL TREND SLIGHTLY WARMER, REACHING THE  
MIDDLE 80S BY WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025  
 
A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED BUT NARROW RIDGE ORIENTED FROM LAKE SUPERIOR  
INTO SOUTH TEXAS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EAST AND BROADEN OVER THE NEXT  
SEVERAL DAYS. BY MIDWEEK IT WILL BE ORIENTED MORE LONGITUDINAL,  
JUST WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. AS A RESULT, TEMPERATURES  
WILL TREND SLIGHTLY WARMER THROUGH MIDWEEK AND CONDITIONS WILL  
REMAIN DRY. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD REACH THE LOW TO MIDDLE 80S  
BY WEDNESDAY, THEN TREND COOLER AFTER MIDWEEK AS THE RIDGE  
FLATTENS OUT. GUIDANCE IS NOT IN GREAT AGREEMENT AFTER MIDWEEK,  
BUT THERE IS NOT ANY INDICATION OF ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OR  
COOLER TEMPERATURES BEFORE NEXT WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT SUN OCT 12 2025  
 
VFR EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LIGHT,  
VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME EASTERLY OVERNIGHT  
MAINTAINING SPEEDS AT OR BELOW 5 KNOTS.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CDT SAT OCT 11 2025  
 
MINRH VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE 30S TO MIDDLE 40S  
PERCENTAGE RANGE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, WITH NO WETTING RAIN.  
 

 
   
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
AR...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
TN...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
PUBLIC FORECAST...JDS  
AVIATION...JAB  
 
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