480  
FNUS54 KMEG 160931  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL BEGIN ON MONDAY, BRINGING DAILY  
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL  
THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-162200-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (-8) 41 (-12) 64  
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-35) 62 (-31) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 8 E 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 7 LGT/VAR SE 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 1800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 SE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 SE 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 60 57  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 7 SE 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 16 SE 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 32 10 26  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. PARTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.  
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-162200-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-6) 46 (-13) 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 36 (-25) 62 (-36) 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 LGT/VAR SE 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 800 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 1900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 SE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 SE 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5600 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 64 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) NE 8 SE 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) NE 17 SE 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 35 12 26  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-162200-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-10) 37 (-15) 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (-32) 65 (-26) 25  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 54  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 6 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 14 E 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 29 9 21  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-162200-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-8) 39 (-16) 66  
RH % (24H TREND) 30 (-26) 63 (-31) 24  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR SE 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2600 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3000 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 6 SE 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 14 SE 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 5400 3000  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 57  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 E 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 15 E 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 10 20  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS  
AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-162200-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-3) 46 (-13) 72  
RH % (24H TREND) 37 (-16) 63 (-34) 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 5 E 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 6 NE 4 SE 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2900 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 2000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) NE 7 SE 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 15 SE 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 6300 3600  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 SE 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 15 SE 16  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 11 25  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-162200-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT MON  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 75 (-2) 42 (-17) 70  
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (-19) 62 (-33) 23  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 4 E 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) N 6 LGT/VAR SE 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3000 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) N 7 SE 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 15 SE 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7000 2800  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 59  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) N 7 E 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) N 15 E 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 30 9 17  
STABILITY CLASS B F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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