598  
FNUS54 KMEG 170931  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AN INCREASINGLY WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL SETTLE OVER THE  
MID-SOUTH THIS WEEK. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL  
THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-172200-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 40 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.04 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (-1) 56 (+13) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 28 (+2) 90 (+25) 61  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 6 S 13 G23  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 8 SE 7 G17 SW 12 G23  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 2900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2100 3200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 6 SW 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 SW 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 11000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 72  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 8 SW 12  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 18 SW 26  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 18 55  
STABILITY CLASS B E D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-172200-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.08 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 11 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 69 (-2) 58 (+11) 79  
RH % (24H TREND) 32 (-3) 98 (+34) 65  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 9 G22  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SE 6 G17 SW 9 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1400 3100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1600 3300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 6 SW 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 SW 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 11000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 65 72  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 8 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 18 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 29 16 58  
STABILITY CLASS C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-172200-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 40 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.06 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 66 (0) 51 (+12) 76  
RH % (24H TREND) 25 (0) 74 (+4) 49  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 11 G22  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SE 6 SW 10 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 5 SW 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 SW 23  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 7000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 6 SW 12  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 14 SW 28  
DISPERSION INDEX 23 15 51  
STABILITY CLASS B E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-172200-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 20  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (-2) 52 (+11) 77  
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-2) 81 (+11) 47  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 5 S 11 G22  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SE 6 SW 11 G22  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1800 2600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2200 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 5 SW 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 SW 25  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 9900  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 61 70  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 7 SW 12  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 15 SW 26  
DISPERSION INDEX 23 15 55  
STABILITY CLASS B E C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-172200-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (-4) 57 (+10) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 29 (-3) 96 (+34) 60  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 6 S 10 G20  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 7 SE 6 SW 10 G21  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1700 3100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2000 3400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 6 SW 11  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 14 SW 24  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 11000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 66 71  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SE 8 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SE 17 SW 23  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 15 55  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-172200-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 71 (-4) 53 (+9) 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 23 (-6) 80 (+12) 48  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 9 G19  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 5 SE 4 SW 9 G19  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2000 2800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 1000  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2400 3200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SE 5 SW 10  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 10 SW 22  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 10000  
CATEGORY DAY 2 4  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 62 69  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) E 6 S 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) E 13 S 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 22 12 47  
STABILITY CLASS B F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 2  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
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