794
FNUS74 KMEG 171223
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR 20MILE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
623 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAYTIME WITH MINRH VALUES
FALLING TO BETWEEN 20 TO 25% BY THE AFTERNOON. SOUTHEASTERLY 20KFT
WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 5 TO 6 KTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............29 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).300-2800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-853 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7 TO
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
2000 FT WINDS.......EAST 12 TO 16 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND
12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
5000 FT WINDS.......EAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........25 29 24 38 33 24 28 27 20 23 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 48 55 59 64 66 68 69 69 67 65
DEWPOINT........30 31 30 30 29 28 30 30 31 33 34
RH..............58 51 38 33 27 24 24 23 24 28 31
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.7 0.7 0.4
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.3 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.7 0.7 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 10 9 8 8 8 8 9 7 8
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4
2000 FT WND DIR.E E E E E SE SE E E SE SE
2000 FT WND SPD.16 15 14 12 9 8 7 7 8 9 12
5000 FT WND DIR.NE E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
5000 FT WND SPD.10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 8 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............36.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).300-400 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-122 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 13
TO 14 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTH AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND AFTER 3 AM.
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 20
TO 24 MPH OVERNIGHT.
5000 FT WINDS.......SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........20 23 26 23 17 16 20 35 37 36 38 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............62 57 56 56 55 55 54 53 55 55 54 54
DEWPOINT........35 36 35 35 35 35 34 35 35 36 37 38
RH..............36 45 45 45 47 47 47 50 47 49 52 55
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 13
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
2000 FT WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S
2000 FT WND SPD.14 15 16 17 18 18 20 21 22 23 24 24
5000 FT WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S SW
5000 FT WND SPD.12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 22 23 24 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............41 INCREASING TO 60.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).400-2900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-884 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 6 TO 9 METERS/SECOND.
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTH 20 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 18 TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
5000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 25 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36 24 30 36 39 41 44 42 41 39 38 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10
TEMP............54 56 60 64 68 72 75 77 78 78 77 75
DEWPOINT........40 43 48 53 56 59 60 61 61 61 61 62
RH..............59 62 64 67 65 64 60 58 56 56 58 64
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.0 1.2
MX HT MSL (KFT).0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.0 1.2
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 16 17 18 20 20 21 21 21 18 15
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 6 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 7
2000 FT WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
2000 FT WND SPD.24 24 24 23 22 22 21 20 18 18 18 20
5000 FT WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
5000 FT WND SPD.25 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 25 25 26 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 8 8 5 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...CMA
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT VICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526088.0/MEG
.DELDT 11/17/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ROBERT_VICK@NPS.GOV
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