444  
FNUS54 KMEG 172131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MINIMUM RH'S THIS AFTERNOON WILL DIP INTO THE LOW TO MIDDLE 20S IN  
WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. AN INCREASINGLY WET  
AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL SETTLE OVER THE MID-SOUTH THIS WEEK.  
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-181000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 40 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 6 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+13) 79 (+14) 55 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 90 (+23) 61 (+33) 100 58  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 13 G23 NW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 7 G17 SW 12 G23 SW 6 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2800 2000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3100 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 10 SW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 SW 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 2100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 58  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 13 N 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 29 N 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 54 11 11  
STABILITY CLASS E D F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 78 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-181000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+10) 79 (+11) 61 80  
RH % (24H TREND) 98 (+31) 65 (+31) 100 62  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G22 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 G17 SW 9 G22 SW 4 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3000 4000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 4200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 11 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 SW 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 11000 7800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 11 NW 7  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 25 NW 15  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 56 10 34  
STABILITY CLASS F C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN  
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
62 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-181000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 50 60 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+13) 76 (+11) 56 75  
RH % (24H TREND) 74 (-5) 49 (+25) 100 60  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 11 G22 W 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SW 10 G22 SW 5 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 600 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1900 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 700 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2300 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 11 W 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 W 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 7700 2100  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 61  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 13 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 30 NW 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 49 11 13  
STABILITY CLASS E C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 79 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-181000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 20 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30 40 10  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING 6 PM  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 PM 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+13) 77 (+9) 59 78  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (0) 47 (+23) 100 62  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 11 G22 SW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SW 11 G22 SW 5 W 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 700 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2400 2600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 900 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 2800 2900  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 10 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 9000 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 64  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 12 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 28 NW 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 53 11 25  
STABILITY CLASS E C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY  
CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-181000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 10 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 57 (+7) 80 (+9) 60 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 96 (+34) 60 (+31) 100 59  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 10 G20 SW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SW 10 G21 SW 5 SW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 900 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 4200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1300  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3300 4400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 10 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 23 SW 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10000 7800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 70 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 23 W 12  
DISPERSION INDEX 15 57 13 36  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 74 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 70 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 67 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-181000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 PM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
TONIGHT TUE TUE NIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+11) 80 (+10) 58 81  
RH % (24H TREND) 80 (+7) 48 (+24) 100 55  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G19 SW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 SW 9 G19 SW 4 SW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 800 1100  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2700 3600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 1200  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3200 4000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 10 W 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 22 W 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 10000 7200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 68  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 21 W 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 48 9 36  
STABILITY CLASS F C F C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.  
MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
60S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page