584
FXUS64 KMEG 081743 AAA
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1143 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY WARM EACH DAY WITH HIGHS NEAR
NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY.
- COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE MID-SOUTH THIS WEEKEND. HIGHS
BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO MID 40S.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1029 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL IMPACT THE MID-SOUTH THROUGH
MIDWEEK. SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL ALLOW GRADUAL WAA THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, WHEN HIGH TEMPERATURES RETURN TO THE MID AND UPPER
50S.UNFORTUNATELY, WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL NOT STICK AROUND FOR
LONG AS A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ATTENDANT COLD FRONT
PUSH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION ON WEDNESDAY. EVENTUAL FROPA
WILL OCCUR BY MIDDAY WITH COOLER AIR FUNNELING INTO THE MID-SOUTH
OVERNIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 40S TO THE MID 50S.
ELSEWHERE IN CONUS ON FRIDAY, A PIECE OF THE POLAR VORTEX WILL
EJECT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A
CONTINENTAL POLAR AIRMASS TO SETTLE OVER A LARGE PORTION OF
CONUS. THE LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS A MORE NORTHERLY EJECTION OF
THIS AIRMASS, MEANING THE COLDEST AIR WILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE
MIDWEST. TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL BE WELL BELOW
NORMAL LOCALLY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER
40S. THE COLDEST MORNING WILL OCCUR ON SATURDAY AS LOWS DROP TO
THE LOW 20S FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-40. RAIN CHANCES RETURN ON
SUNDAY, BUT OVERALL QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER OF AN
INCH.
ANS
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1143 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
A CLEARING LINE NORTH OF HKA HAS SLOWED ITS SOUTHWARD PROGRESS
THIS MORNING, BUT VFR SHOULD ARRIVE AT MEM BY 00Z.
GUIDANCE REMAINS MIXED ON WHETHER ERODING MVFR CIGS AROUND TUP
WILL REFORM LATER THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME, CHANCES APPEAR
BETTER THAN EVEN FOR MVFR CIGS AT TUP OVERNIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE
IS LOWER THAN TYPICAL.
PWB
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1029 AM CST MON DEC 8 2025
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH MINRH
VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 40%. DRY CONDITIONS AND LIGHT 20FT WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...PWB
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