513  
FNUS54 KMEG 212131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A 20% TO 60% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN WILL RETURN MONDAY INTO  
TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH. FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN VERY  
LOW ALL NEXT WEEK AS HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ELEVATED IN THE 50% TO  
80% RANGE. UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY AS  
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER THE  
REGION.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-221000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 9 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-5) 59 (+9) 51 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 75 (-14) 61 (+25) 100 87  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 SW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 5 S 6 S 5 SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 900 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 300 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1100 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 SW 13  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 1800 4200  
CATEGORY DAY 1 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 11 SW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 25 SW 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 19 19 24  
STABILITY CLASS F C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
77 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 65 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-221000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 38 (-4) 61 (+7) 55 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 81 (-7) 60 (+23) 100 86  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 S 4 S 4 SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1200 2400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1400 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 SW 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 5600  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 23 SW 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 19 19 35  
STABILITY CLASS F C D D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
74 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-221000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 60 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.02  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 6 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 9 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 33 (-7) 57 (+6) 51 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 67 (-13) 55 (+29) 100 92  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 5 SW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 8 S 7 SW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1200 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1600 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 SW 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 17 SW 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 3500  
CATEGORY DAY 3 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 55 59  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 12 SW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 28 SW 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 34 21 23  
STABILITY CLASS F C D D  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH  
80 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
40. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-221000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 50 50  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.03  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 36 (-10) 60 (+5) 51 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 71 (-5) 54 (+28) 100 83  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 5 SW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) E 4 S 8 S 7 SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1100 1600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1500 2000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 SW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 4200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 12 SW 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 26 SW 19  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 33 21 33  
STABILITY CLASS F C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-221000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (-8) 63 (+5) 55 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 85 (-2) 58 (+13) 100 77  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 S 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 S 5 S 6 SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1600 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 SW 16  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 4200  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 60 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SW 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 22 SW 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 21 21 33  
STABILITY CLASS F C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
68 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
73 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-221000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST SUN DEC 21 2025  
 
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 40 30  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 2 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 40 (-9) 61 (+3) 52 70  
RH % (24H TREND) 79 (-5) 56 (+16) 100 68  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 5 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) NE 4 S 7 S 6 SW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1300 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1700 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 8 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 18 SW 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 4000 4200  
CATEGORY DAY 3 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 54 63  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 23 SW 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 10 34 19 29  
STABILITY CLASS F C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 68 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page