727  
FNUS54 KMEG 220931  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A 20% TO 60% CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN WILL RETURN MONDAY INTO  
TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH. FIRE DANGER WILL REMAIN VERY  
LOW ALL NEXT WEEK AS HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ELEVATED IN THE 50% TO  
80% RANGE. UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY AS  
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM REMAINS OVER THE  
REGION.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-222200-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 30 20  
PRECIP TYPE NONE DRIZZLE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+7) 51 (+16) 69  
RH % (24H TREND) 54 (+17) 100 (+32) 88  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 SW 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 S 5 SW 7  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 300 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1100 1700  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 400 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1400 2000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 2400 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 66  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 21 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 14 32  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
79 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
64 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-222200-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE NONE DRIZZLE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+6) 56 (+15) 70  
RH % (24H TREND) 52 (+16) 100 (+32) 85  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR S 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 5 S 4 SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1500 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1700 2100  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 SW 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3000 5400  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 62 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 SW 11  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 20 SW 24  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 20 38  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
75 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
71 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-222200-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 50 60  
PRECIP TYPE NONE DRIZZLE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+3) 51 (+16) 66  
RH % (24H TREND) 48 (+26) 100 (+42) 90  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G17 S 7 G17 SW 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1400 1400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1800 1800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 7  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 14 SW 15  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 3500  
CATEGORY DAY 2 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 56 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 11 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 24 SW 23  
DISPERSION INDEX 29 22 28  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
83 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-222200-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 40 60  
PRECIP TYPE NONE DRIZZLE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.04  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 5  
PRECIP BEGIN 8 PM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+2) 52 (+14) 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+21) 100 (+42) 84  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 SW 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 S 7 SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 400  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1300 1400  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1700 1800  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 9  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 SW 20  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 4500  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 58 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 10 SW 10  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 23 SW 22  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 20 36  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
75 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-222200-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE DRIZZLE DRIZZLE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 0 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 65 (+3) 57 (+13) 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 48 (+8) 100 (+31) 76  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 4 S 7  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 6 S 5 SW 6  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 500 500  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1600 1800  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 600 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1800 2000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 6 SW 8  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 SW 18  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3600 4800  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 63 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 SW 9  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 19 SW 21  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 21 37  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
72 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
69 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
65 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
50S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-222200-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 AM CST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
TODAY TONIGHT TUE  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30 40  
PRECIP TYPE DRIZZLE DRIZZLE SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.02 0.01  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 0 0 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 12 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 61 (-1) 53 (+11) 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 44 (+9) 100 (+34) 66  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 5 S 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SE 8 S 6 SW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 400 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1300 1900  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 500 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 1700 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) S 7 SW 6  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 15 SW 14  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 3500 4200  
CATEGORY DAY 2 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 59 65  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 9 SW 8  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 21 SW 17  
DISPERSION INDEX 28 19 33  
STABILITY CLASS C D C  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
61 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH  
67 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND  
50. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60.  
MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
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