343
FNUS74 KMEG 132141
FWSMEG
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOLLY SPRING IU 40 1 40 2 CHEWALLA LAKE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
341 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CST ON JANUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY AIR CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION WITH RH VALUES HOVERING
BETWEEN 25-30%, MUCH LOWER THAN GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING. A SLOW,
GRADUAL RISE OF MOISTURE IS EXPECTED WITH ELEVATED SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES. RH VALUES SHOULD RISE ABOVE 30%
BY SUNSET TODAY AND RISE ABOVE 40% BY SUNRISE TOMORROW AS WETTING RAIN
RETURNS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............34.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).700-1900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-579 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 METERS/SECOND.
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 21 TO 23 MPH.
5000 FT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........4 3
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0
TEMP............59 57
DEWPOINT........33 35
RH..............37 43
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 0.7
MX HT MSL (KFT).1.9 0.7
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 15
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW
TRANS SPD (M/S).9 7
2000 FT WND DIR.SW SW
2000 FT WND SPD.21 23
5000 FT WND DIR.W W
5000 FT WND SPD.29 29
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............35.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).400-600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-183 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 METERS/SECOND.
2000 FT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 25 TO 28 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 32
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 32 TO 36 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 28 TO 30 MPH AFTER 3
AM.
5000 FT WINDS.......WEST 30 TO 33 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 38 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN DECREASING
TO 29 TO 31 MPH AFTER 3 AM DECREASING TO AROUND
26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (900 KNOT-FT).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........4 21 19 46 48 59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 48 46 45 43 42
DEWPOINT........34 35 35 35 35 35
RH..............48 60 65 68 73 76
20 FT WIND......SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 6 SW 5 W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 14 14 12
MIX HGT (FT)....600 400 500 600 600 500
MX HT MSL (FT)..600 400 500 600 600 500
MIX HGT (M).....180 120 150 180 180 150
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 15 SW 15 SW 16 SW 15 SW 17 SW 16
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 SW 8 SW 7
2000 FT WIND....SW 25 SW 30 SW 35 W 36 W 35 W 30
5000 FT WIND....W 30 W 32 W 36 W 38 W 35 W 29
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...MEADOWS
REQUESTED BY...ROSALYN VELASQUEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600067.0/MEG
.DELDT 01/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN.TOWNSEND@USDA.GOV,MSMIC@FIRENET.GOV
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