501  
FNUS54 KMEG 182131  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WETTING RAIN CHANCES RETURN TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH SATURDAY AS  
MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES APPROACH THE MID-SOUTH. THIS WILL CURB FIRE  
WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-191000-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
331 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 1 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+1) 73 (+3) 42 60  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+10) 55 (-11) 72 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 12 G27 NW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 6 SW 16 G28 SW 10 G21 N 5  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1300 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4300 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1400 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4500 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 NW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 30 NW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 18200 2400  
CATEGORY DAY 5 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 51  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 14 NW 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 30 NW 11  
DISPERSION INDEX 12 71 37 24  
STABILITY CLASS F D E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 38 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-191000-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
331 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 20 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 AM  
PRECIP END 6 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+3) 74 (+4) 45 65  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+7) 61 (-13) 84 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G23 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 11 G24 SW 7 G19 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3600 2100  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 12 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 28 NE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13200 2100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 56  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 13 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 29 N 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 63 24 17  
STABILITY CLASS F C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. EAST WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
39 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-191000-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
331 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM CONTINUING CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 56 (+2) 74 (+6) 44 64  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+13) 60 (-9) 84 32  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G24 W 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 12 G26 SW 9 G19 NW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 2700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 W 4  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 30 W 9  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15600 3200  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 53  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 11 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 25 W 14  
DISPERSION INDEX 11 61 38 28  
STABILITY CLASS F C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
33 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN  
THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.  
 
 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-191000-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
331 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 40 20 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 7 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END 5 AM CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 58 (+3) 75 (+6) 46 68  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+12) 62 (-10) 86 29  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G23 NW 4  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 13 G25 SW 9 G19 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 2200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 NW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 30 NW 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15600 2400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 56  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 12 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 26 NW 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 13 63 35 19  
STABILITY CLASS E C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
32 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-191000-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
331 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20 10 30 10  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM  
PRECIP END 3 AM 6 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 60 (+5) 74 (+4) 48 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+6) 65 (-11) 91 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 10 G23 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 4 SW 12 G23 SW 7 G19 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 2200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3400 2500  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 12 E 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 26 E 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 12000 2100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 60  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 12 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 26 N 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 18 63 25 17  
STABILITY CLASS E C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
36 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO  
15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-191000-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
331 PM CST WED FEB 18 2026  
 
TONIGHT THU THU NIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 10 60 20  
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS NONE TSTMS SHOWERS  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2 6 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 PM 6 PM 12 PM  
PRECIP END 6 AM 6 AM CONTINUING  
TEMP (24H TREND) 59 (+5) 77 (+8) 50 73  
RH % (24H TREND) 100 (+5) 59 (-14) 94 28  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G20 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) LGT/VAR SW 10 G22 SW 7 G18 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3400 2500  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3800 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 11 N 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 24 N 5  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13200 1800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 1  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 16 61 26 12  
STABILITY CLASS D C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 3 2 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 30 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY  
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
29 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab TN Page
The Nexlab MS Page
The Nexlab AR Page
Main Text Page