956  
FNUS54 KMEG 190931  
FWFMEG  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR THE MIDSOUTH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
WETTING RAIN CHANCES INCREASE FOR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE MID-  
SOUTH BEGINNING THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS IN NORTHERN PORTIONS OF  
THE REGION WITH ELEVATED 20 FT WINDS WILL RESULT IN A LIMITED  
FIRE DANGER FOR THE AFOREMENTIONED AREA. A COOLER AND WETTER  
PATTERN WILL EMERGE AFTER THURSDAY, LEADING TO GENERALLY REDUCED  
FIRE WEATHER RISK AS HUMIDITY RISES AND FUEL MOISTURE IMPROVES.  
 
ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-192200-  
CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-DUNKLIN-GREENE-MISSISSIPPI-PEMISCOT-POINSETT-  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 20  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM  
PRECIP END 1 PM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+3) 38 (-20) 57  
RH % (24H TREND) 58 (-17) 74 (-26) 34  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 12 G27 NW 6  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 16 G28 SW 11 G21 NW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1200 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4100 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1300 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 4400 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 NW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 NW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 16900 2400  
CATEGORY DAY 5 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 47  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 14 W 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 30 W 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 71 31 32  
STABILITY CLASS D E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 2 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH  
57 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.  
 

 
 
ARZ035-036-048-049-058-192200-  
CRITTENDEN-CROSS-LEE AR-PHILLIPS-ST. FRANCIS-  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 10 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (+4) 41 (-19) 61  
RH % (24H TREND) 62 (-15) 85 (-15) 37  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G23 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 12 G23 SW 7 G20 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 600  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3300 2000  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 2200  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 12 NE 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 26 NE 5  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13200 1400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 1  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 67 54  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 14 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 30 N 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 61 26 24  
STABILITY CLASS C F B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
59 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ001>004-019>022-192200-  
BENTON TN-CARROLL-DYER-GIBSON-HENRY-LAKE-OBION-WEAKLEY-  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 20 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 30 30  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.01 0.02 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 6 AM CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 72 (+4) 40 (-17) 60  
RH % (24H TREND) 65 (-9) 92 (-8) 33  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G25 W 5  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 12 G26 SW 10 G19 NW 4  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3100 2300  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 2700  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 12 W 5  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 26 W 10  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13200 4000  
CATEGORY DAY 4 3  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 50  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 11 W 6  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 24 W 13  
DISPERSION INDEX 61 39 37  
STABILITY CLASS C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH  
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 34 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
TNZ048>055-088>091-192200-  
CHESTER-CROCKETT-DECATUR-FAYETTE-HARDEMAN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-  
LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-SHELBY-TIPTON-  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 1  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM  
PRECIP END 12 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 73 (+4) 41 (-18) 63  
RH % (24H TREND) 66 (-13) 95 (-5) 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 9 G23 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 13 G25 SW 9 G20 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 2200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 2600  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 NW 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 NW 7  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 15600 2400  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 54  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) S 11 W 5  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) S 26 W 10  
DISPERSION INDEX 63 31 28  
STABILITY CLASS C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE  
MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH  
51 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. MINIMUM RH 33 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-192200-  
COAHOMA-DESOTO-PANOLA-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TUNICA-YALOBUSHA-  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 0 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 20 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS)  
PRECIP BEGIN  
PRECIP END  
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (+4) 44 (-17) 67  
RH % (24H TREND) 68 (-13) 94 (-6) 31  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 10 G23 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 12 G23 SW 8 G20 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1000 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3200 2200  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1100 700  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3500 2400  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 13 NE 3  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 29 NE 6  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 14300 2100  
CATEGORY DAY 4 2  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 68 59  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 12 N 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 27 N 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 61 26 19  
STABILITY CLASS C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH  
60 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS  
AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTH  
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
55 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-192200-  
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-  
MARSHALL-MONROE-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-UNION-  
330 AM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
TODAY TONIGHT FRI  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
CHANCE OF THUNDER (%) 0 20 0  
PRECIP CHANCE (%) 10 50 10  
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS NONE  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.08 0.00  
PRECIP DURATION (HRS) 2  
PRECIP BEGIN 7 PM  
PRECIP END 3 AM  
TEMP (24H TREND) 74 (+5) 46 (-14) 71  
RH % (24H TREND) 63 (-20) 97 (-3) 27  
AM WIND 20FT (MPH) S 8 G20 LGT/VAR  
PM WIND 20FT (MPH) SW 11 G22 SW 7 G18 LGT/VAR  
MIXING HGT(M-AGL) 1100 800  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3500 2600  
MIXING HGT(M-MSL) 1200 900  
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL) 3900 3000  
TRANSPORT WND (M/S) SW 11 N 2  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 25 N 5  
VENT INDEX (M2/S) 13200 1800  
CATEGORY DAY 4 1  
500M MIX HGT TEMP (F) 69 62  
500M TSPT WIND (M/S) SW 10 NW 4  
500M TSPT WIND (MPH) SW 22 NW 9  
DISPERSION INDEX 59 31 19  
STABILITY CLASS C E B  
STAGNATION INDEX 2 3 3  
 
REMARKS...NONE.  
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
SHOWERS LIKELY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
54 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. MINIMUM RH 31 PERCENT.  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND  
5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 28 PERCENT.  
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH  
49 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 

 
 
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