884  
FNUS74 KMEG 011119  
FWSMEG  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TBIU 28-1...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN  
519 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON MARCH 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
INITIAL RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 50% AND 60%.  
INTO THIS AFTERNOON, DIURNAL HEATING WILL BRING THE RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY DOWN TO NEAR 30% WITH A LOW (30%) CHANCE THAT THE  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP BELOW 30%. TRANSPORT WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED TO BEGIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN SHIFT TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AND GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
 
FOG POTENTIAL REMAINS VERY LOW SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING  
WITH LESS THAN A 10% CHANCE OF VISIBILITY DROPPING BELOW 1/2 MI.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............48.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1128 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO  
THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........41 43 38 39 50 55 50 51 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 67 70 74 76 76 77 76 74  
DEWPOINT........47 48 49 49 48 47 47 47 48  
RH..............61 51 47 41 38 35 35 36 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 2.0 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.7 2.5 0.7  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SE SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 3 3 3 5 6 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SE SE E E  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 1 1 1 2 3 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............48.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...61-122 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10  
TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........49 39 46 46 43 33 38 44 52 68 50 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............70 65 63 61 60 60 58 58 57 57 55 55  
DEWPOINT........47 47 48 47 48 48 48 49 49 49 50 50  
RH..............44 52 57 59 63 66 70 73 75 75 82 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
TRANS WIND DIR..E SE SE SE S S S S S S S SW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50 INCREASING TO 52 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1646 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 4 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........40 57 51 45  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 63 74 77  
DEWPOINT........49 54 54 51  
RH..............81 72 50 41  
20 FT WIND......S 2G6 S 2G7 S 3G10 S 5G11  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 800 2200 5400  
MIX HGT (M).....90 240 670 1650  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 10 SW 8 S 10 S 13  
TRAN WIND (M/S).SW 4 SW 4 S 4 S 6  
 
 
FORECASTER...BRUSS  
REQUESTED BY...JOHN TOWNSEND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604357.0/MEG  
.DELDT 03/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOHN.TOWNSEND@USDA.GOV  
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